Isar Aerospace successful orbital launch in 2025?
$19,124 Vol.
$19,124 Vol.
Dec 31, 2025
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any launch attempt of the Spectrum rocket, developed by Isar Aerospace, results in a payload reaching a stable Earth orbit by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"Reaching stable orbit" is defined as the successful insertion of a payload into a sustained low Earth orbit (LEO) or higher, where the payload completes at least one full revolution around Earth.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if any launch attempt of the Spectrum rocket, developed by Isar Aerospace, results in a payload reaching a stable Earth orbit by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"Reaching stable orbit" is defined as the successful insertion of a payload into a sustained low Earth orbit (LEO) or higher, where the payload completes at least one full revolution around Earth.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
"Reaching stable orbit" is defined as the successful insertion of a payload into a sustained low Earth orbit (LEO) or higher, where the payload completes at least one full revolution around Earth.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Created At: Apr 7, 2025, 7:54 PM ET
Volume
$19,124End Date
Dec 31, 2025Created At
Apr 7, 2025, 7:54 PM ETResolver
0x6A9D22261...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Isar Aerospace successful orbital launch in 2025?
$19,124 Vol.
$19,124 Vol.
Dec 31, 2025
About
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any launch attempt of the Spectrum rocket, developed by Isar Aerospace, results in a payload reaching a stable Earth orbit by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"Reaching stable orbit" is defined as the successful insertion of a payload into a sustained low Earth orbit (LEO) or higher, where the payload completes at least one full revolution around Earth.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if any launch attempt of the Spectrum rocket, developed by Isar Aerospace, results in a payload reaching a stable Earth orbit by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"Reaching stable orbit" is defined as the successful insertion of a payload into a sustained low Earth orbit (LEO) or higher, where the payload completes at least one full revolution around Earth.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
"Reaching stable orbit" is defined as the successful insertion of a payload into a sustained low Earth orbit (LEO) or higher, where the payload completes at least one full revolution around Earth.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$19,124End Date
Dec 31, 2025Created At
Apr 7, 2025, 7:54 PM ETResolver
0x6A9D22261...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
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Beware of external links.