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NASA Artemis II

$375,536 Vol.

Mar 31, 2026
Polymarket

If the Artemis II rocket successfully launches from its launch pad by February28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by NASA (https://www.youtube.com/nasa), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.

Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Artemis II with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.
Volume
$375,536
End Date
Mar 31, 2026
Created At
Jan 20, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
If the Artemis II rocket successfully launches from its launch pad by February28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by NASA (https://www.youtube.com/nasa), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Artemis II with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.

Beware of external links.

Market icon

NASA Artemis II

$375,536 Vol.

Polymarket

February 28

$98,171 Vol.

<1%

March 31

$50,639 Vol.

56%

Artemis II explodes?

$80,720 Vol.

7%

April 30

$17,484 Vol.

68%

Beware of external links.