Strong trader consensus on "No" at 94.4% reflects the parlay's demanding triple requirement: Elon Musk reaching $1 trillion net worth on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index, the birth of another child, and at least nine successful SpaceX Starship orbital launches, all within 2026. Recent Starship test flights demonstrate incremental progress toward higher cadence, yet historical delays and the need for repeated full successes create substantial execution risk. SpaceX's IPO filing raises the prospect of Musk becoming the first trillionaire, but this alone cannot satisfy the bundled criteria. The personal milestone adds further uncertainty unrelated to corporate timelines. Any shortfall in launch volume or timing would resolve the market to No well before year-end.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоElon Bull Run Parlay
Elon Bull Run Parlay
$10,350 Обс.
$10,350 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
$10,350 Обс.
$10,350 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Elon Musk trillionaire
- Another Elon baby
- 9+ SpaceX Starship launches reach space
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Elon+Bull+Run+Parlay.pdfStrong trader consensus on "No" at 94.4% reflects the parlay's demanding triple requirement: Elon Musk reaching $1 trillion net worth on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index, the birth of another child, and at least nine successful SpaceX Starship orbital launches, all within 2026. Recent Starship test flights demonstrate incremental progress toward higher cadence, yet historical delays and the need for repeated full successes create substantial execution risk. SpaceX's IPO filing raises the prospect of Musk becoming the first trillionaire, but this alone cannot satisfy the bundled criteria. The personal milestone adds further uncertainty unrelated to corporate timelines. Any shortfall in launch volume or timing would resolve the market to No well before year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Elon Musk trillionaire
- Another Elon baby
- 9+ SpaceX Starship launches reach space
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Elon+Bull+Run+Parlay.pdf
- Elon Musk trillionaire
- Another Elon baby
- 9+ SpaceX Starship launches reach space
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Elon+Bull+Run+Parlay.pdf
Ринок відкрито: Feb 6, 2026, 6:03 PM ET
Обсяг
$10,350Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Feb 6, 2026, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Elon Musk trillionaire
- Another Elon baby
- 9+ SpaceX Starship launches reach space
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Elon+Bull+Run+Parlay.pdfStrong trader consensus on "No" at 94.4% reflects the parlay's demanding triple requirement: Elon Musk reaching $1 trillion net worth on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index, the birth of another child, and at least nine successful SpaceX Starship orbital launches, all within 2026. Recent Starship test flights demonstrate incremental progress toward higher cadence, yet historical delays and the need for repeated full successes create substantial execution risk. SpaceX's IPO filing raises the prospect of Musk becoming the first trillionaire, but this alone cannot satisfy the bundled criteria. The personal milestone adds further uncertainty unrelated to corporate timelines. Any shortfall in launch volume or timing would resolve the market to No well before year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Elon Musk trillionaire
- Another Elon baby
- 9+ SpaceX Starship launches reach space
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Elon+Bull+Run+Parlay.pdf
- Elon Musk trillionaire
- Another Elon baby
- 9+ SpaceX Starship launches reach space
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Elon+Bull+Run+Parlay.pdf
Обсяг
$10,350Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Feb 6, 2026, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Strong trader consensus on "No" at 94.4% reflects the parlay's demanding triple requirement: Elon Musk reaching $1 trillion net worth on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index, the birth of another child, and at least nine successful SpaceX Starship orbital launches, all within 2026. Recent Starship test flights demonstrate incremental progress toward higher cadence, yet historical delays and the need for repeated full successes create substantial execution risk. SpaceX's IPO filing raises the prospect of Musk becoming the first trillionaire, but this alone cannot satisfy the bundled criteria. The personal milestone adds further uncertainty unrelated to corporate timelines. Any shortfall in launch volume or timing would resolve the market to No well before year-end.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання