Market icon

February 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

>1.24ºC 43%

1.20–1.24ºC 29%

1.15–1.19ºC 13%

1.10–1.14ºC 7%

NEW

$31,955 Vol.

Rules

This market will resolve according to the value reported by the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for February 2026 when it is released.

An anomaly within a named bracket for February 2026 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market immediately once the data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for February 2026 is later revised.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Feb" in the row "2026" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt).

If NASA’s “Global Temperature Index” is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for February 2026 is provided by NASA by April 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
Volume
$31,955
End Date
Mar 10, 2026
Created At
Feb 2, 2026, 4:59 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the value reported by the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for February 2026 when it is released. An anomaly within a named bracket for February 2026 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market immediately once the data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for February 2026 is later revised. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Feb" in the row "2026" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA’s “Global Temperature Index” is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for February 2026 is provided by NASA by April 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

Beware of external links.

Market icon

February 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

>1.24ºC 43%

1.20–1.24ºC 29%

1.15–1.19ºC 13%

1.10–1.14ºC 7%

NEW

$31,955 Vol.

<1.05ºC

$3,829 Vol.

4%

1.05–1.09ºC

$1,113 Vol.

4%

1.10–1.14ºC

$897 Vol.

7%

1.15–1.19ºC

$283 Vol.

13%

1.20–1.24ºC

$573 Vol.

29%

>1.24ºC

$25,260 Vol.

43%

About

Volume
$31,955
End Date
Mar 10, 2026
Created At
Feb 2, 2026, 4:59 PM ET

Beware of external links.