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Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on March 28?

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Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on March 28?

Mar 28

Mar 29

Mar 28

Mar 29

24°C 80%

25°C 25%

26°C 1.1%

27°C or higher <1%

Polymarket

$47,880 Vol.

24°C 80%

25°C 25%

26°C 1.1%

27°C or higher <1%

Polymarket

$47,880 Vol.

22°C

$6,179 Vol.

<1%

23°C

$5,130 Vol.

<1%

24°C

$2,123 Vol.

80%

25°C

$2,448 Vol.

25%

26°C

$1,878 Vol.

1%

27°C or higher

$2,918 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 28 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high temperature of 24°C (74% implied probability) in Tel Aviv today, driven by the latest Israel Meteorological Service forecasts and international models like ECMWF and GFS projecting peaks of 23-25°C under partly cloudy skies with light southwest winds at 10-20 km/h. Morning observations show lows around 12-15°C, with solar heating expected to build through afternoon peaks near 2-4 p.m., supported by a high-pressure ridge suppressing clouds and aligning with late-March climatology where highs average 20-22°C but often reach mid-20s in mild setups. Overnight model refinements shifted odds upward from yesterday's cooler 19°C outcome, though sea-breeze development or unexpected cloudiness could cap at 23°C or push to 25°C; monitor IMS station data for official resolution this evening.

Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high temperature of 24°C (74% implied probability) in Tel Aviv today, driven by the latest Israel Meteorological Service forecasts and international models like ECMWF and GFS projecting peaks of 23-25°C under partly cloudy skies with light southwest winds at 10-20 km/h. Morning observations show lows around 12-15°C, with solar heating expected to build through afternoon peaks near 2-4 p.m., supported by a high-pressure ridge suppressing clouds and aligning with late-March climatology where highs average 20-22°C but often reach mid-20s in mild setups. Overnight model refinements shifted odds upward from yesterday's cooler 19°C outcome, though sea-breeze development or unexpected cloudiness could cap at 23°C or push to 25°C; monitor IMS station data for official resolution this evening.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 28 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high temperature of 24°C (74% implied probability) in Tel Aviv today, driven by the latest Israel Meteorological Service forecasts and international models like ECMWF and GFS projecting peaks of 23-25°C under partly cloudy skies with light southwest winds at 10-20 km/h. Morning observations show lows around 12-15°C, with solar heating expected to build through afternoon peaks near 2-4 p.m., supported by a high-pressure ridge suppressing clouds and aligning with late-March climatology where highs average 20-22°C but often reach mid-20s in mild setups. Overnight model refinements shifted odds upward from yesterday's cooler 19°C outcome, though sea-breeze development or unexpected cloudiness could cap at 23°C or push to 25°C; monitor IMS station data for official resolution this evening.

Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high temperature of 24°C (74% implied probability) in Tel Aviv today, driven by the latest Israel Meteorological Service forecasts and international models like ECMWF and GFS projecting peaks of 23-25°C under partly cloudy skies with light southwest winds at 10-20 km/h. Morning observations show lows around 12-15°C, with solar heating expected to build through afternoon peaks near 2-4 p.m., supported by a high-pressure ridge suppressing clouds and aligning with late-March climatology where highs average 20-22°C but often reach mid-20s in mild setups. Overnight model refinements shifted odds upward from yesterday's cooler 19°C outcome, though sea-breeze development or unexpected cloudiness could cap at 23°C or push to 25°C; monitor IMS station data for official resolution this evening.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on March 28?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "24°C" at 80%, followed by "25°C" at 25%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 80¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 80% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on March 28?" has generated $47.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 24, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on March 28?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on March 28?" is "24°C" at 80%, meaning the market assigns a 80% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "25°C" at 25%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on March 28?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.