Trader sentiment for Tel Aviv's highest temperature on March 28 clusters tightly around 23–24°C, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts showing mean maxima of 23.2–23.8°C amid a persistent high-pressure ridge over the eastern Mediterranean. This setup favors above-average warmth—historical March highs average 21°C—but sea breeze timing introduces uncertainty, potentially capping peaks at 23°C or allowing brief 24°C spikes during peak insolation around 2–3 PM local time. Israel's Meteorological Service preliminary outlook aligns at 23°C, yet model spread of ±1°C reflects microscale factors like urban heat islands and coastal humidity, explaining the razor-thin 29% vs. 28.5% odds split while sidelining extremes. Final 00Z updates could tip the balance.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on March 28?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on March 28?
23°C 29%
24°C 29%
25°C 18%
19°C 16%
17°C or below
2%
18°C
8%
19°C
11%
20°C
11%
21°C
11%
22°C
11%
23°C
29%
24°C
29%
25°C
18%
26°C
9%
27°C or higher
6%
23°C 29%
24°C 29%
25°C 18%
19°C 16%
17°C or below
2%
18°C
8%
19°C
11%
20°C
11%
21°C
11%
22°C
11%
23°C
29%
24°C
29%
25°C
18%
26°C
9%
27°C or higher
6%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 24, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for Tel Aviv's highest temperature on March 28 clusters tightly around 23–24°C, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts showing mean maxima of 23.2–23.8°C amid a persistent high-pressure ridge over the eastern Mediterranean. This setup favors above-average warmth—historical March highs average 21°C—but sea breeze timing introduces uncertainty, potentially capping peaks at 23°C or allowing brief 24°C spikes during peak insolation around 2–3 PM local time. Israel's Meteorological Service preliminary outlook aligns at 23°C, yet model spread of ±1°C reflects microscale factors like urban heat islands and coastal humidity, explaining the razor-thin 29% vs. 28.5% odds split while sidelining extremes. Final 00Z updates could tip the balance.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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