Market icon

Highest temperature in Milan on March 28?

Market icon

Highest temperature in Milan on March 28?

Mar 28

Mar 29

Mar 28

Mar 29

17°C 53%

18°C 29%

16°C 10%

19°C 4.5%

Polymarket

$30,493 Vol.

17°C 53%

18°C 29%

16°C 10%

19°C 4.5%

Polymarket

$30,493 Vol.

13°C

$3,094 Vol.

<1%

14°C

$4,998 Vol.

<1%

15°C

$4,104 Vol.

3%

16°C

$3,125 Vol.

10%

17°C

$2,026 Vol.

53%

18°C

$1,693 Vol.

29%

19°C

$1,420 Vol.

5%

20°C

$2,092 Vol.

<1%

21°C or higher

$1,757 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from Italy's Aeronautica Militare and services like 3B Meteo and ARPA Lombardia project Milan's highest temperature on March 28 at 17°C, aligning with the market's 55.5% implied probability for this outcome and positioning 18°C (27.5%) as the next likeliest amid a tight 16-18°C range. This trader consensus reflects a high-pressure ridge stabilizing over Lombardy after strong winds earlier in the week, fostering mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and efficient diurnal heating from southerly flows, with peak warmth expected around 2-4 p.m. local time at Milano Linate station. Above climatological late-March norms of 13-14°C, current morning readings near 10°C support model runs, though increasing afternoon clouds introduce uncertainty; hourly updates from official monitors will refine the peak before evening resolution.

Latest ensemble forecasts from Italy's Aeronautica Militare and services like 3B Meteo and ARPA Lombardia project Milan's highest temperature on March 28 at 17°C, aligning with the market's 55.5% implied probability for this outcome and positioning 18°C (27.5%) as the next likeliest amid a tight 16-18°C range. This trader consensus reflects a high-pressure ridge stabilizing over Lombardy after strong winds earlier in the week, fostering mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and efficient diurnal heating from southerly flows, with peak warmth expected around 2-4 p.m. local time at Milano Linate station. Above climatological late-March norms of 13-14°C, current morning readings near 10°C support model runs, though increasing afternoon clouds introduce uncertainty; hourly updates from official monitors will refine the peak before evening resolution.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from Italy's Aeronautica Militare and services like 3B Meteo and ARPA Lombardia project Milan's highest temperature on March 28 at 17°C, aligning with the market's 55.5% implied probability for this outcome and positioning 18°C (27.5%) as the next likeliest amid a tight 16-18°C range. This trader consensus reflects a high-pressure ridge stabilizing over Lombardy after strong winds earlier in the week, fostering mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and efficient diurnal heating from southerly flows, with peak warmth expected around 2-4 p.m. local time at Milano Linate station. Above climatological late-March norms of 13-14°C, current morning readings near 10°C support model runs, though increasing afternoon clouds introduce uncertainty; hourly updates from official monitors will refine the peak before evening resolution.

Latest ensemble forecasts from Italy's Aeronautica Militare and services like 3B Meteo and ARPA Lombardia project Milan's highest temperature on March 28 at 17°C, aligning with the market's 55.5% implied probability for this outcome and positioning 18°C (27.5%) as the next likeliest amid a tight 16-18°C range. This trader consensus reflects a high-pressure ridge stabilizing over Lombardy after strong winds earlier in the week, fostering mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and efficient diurnal heating from southerly flows, with peak warmth expected around 2-4 p.m. local time at Milano Linate station. Above climatological late-March norms of 13-14°C, current morning readings near 10°C support model runs, though increasing afternoon clouds introduce uncertainty; hourly updates from official monitors will refine the peak before evening resolution.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Highest temperature in Milan on March 28?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "17°C" at 53%, followed by "18°C" at 28%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 53¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 53% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Highest temperature in Milan on March 28?" has generated $30.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 24, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Highest temperature in Milan on March 28?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Highest temperature in Milan on March 28?" is "17°C" at 53%, meaning the market assigns a 53% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "18°C" at 28%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Highest temperature in Milan on March 28?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.