Recent India Meteorological Department forecasts project Lucknow's highest temperature on March 25 at 32-34°C under clear skies and light northeasterly winds, anchoring trader sentiment with 60% implied probability on 33°C or below and 25% on exactly 34°C. Late March norms in the Indo-Gangetic Plain average 30-33°C maxima, bolstered by preceding days' readings of 31-32°C and ECMWF/GFS model consensus showing stable high-pressure dominance that curbs heat surges. Low humidity and absent western disturbances minimize upside risks, though slight model spread leaves 10% odds for 35°C; traders eye tomorrow's 1200 UTC updates for potential shifts in these leading outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Lucknow on March 25?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on March 25?
33°C or below 60%
34°C 28%
35°C 10.0%
36°C <1%
$92,210 Vol.
$92,210 Vol.
33°C or below
60%
34°C
28%
35°C
10%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C or higher
<1%
33°C or below 60%
34°C 28%
35°C 10.0%
36°C <1%
$92,210 Vol.
$92,210 Vol.
33°C or below
60%
34°C
28%
35°C
10%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 21, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent India Meteorological Department forecasts project Lucknow's highest temperature on March 25 at 32-34°C under clear skies and light northeasterly winds, anchoring trader sentiment with 60% implied probability on 33°C or below and 25% on exactly 34°C. Late March norms in the Indo-Gangetic Plain average 30-33°C maxima, bolstered by preceding days' readings of 31-32°C and ECMWF/GFS model consensus showing stable high-pressure dominance that curbs heat surges. Low humidity and absent western disturbances minimize upside risks, though slight model spread leaves 10% odds for 35°C; traders eye tomorrow's 1200 UTC updates for potential shifts in these leading outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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