Trader consensus heavily favors a Denver high of 78-79°F on March 24, driven by the National Weather Service's latest forecast pinpointing 79°F amid a persistent high-pressure ridge fostering downslope chinook winds that amplify spring warming. Ensemble models from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF align closely, projecting peaks in this bin with low spread, consistent with historical March outliers where Denver has hit 77°F+ on 5% of days under similar synoptic patterns. Verified observations from Denver International Airport show recent days trending 5-10°F above seasonal norms of ~57°F. Realistic challenges include an unanticipated cold frontal passage or increased low-level cloud cover, which could shave 3-5°F off peaks per model sensitivity tests, nudging outcomes toward 76-77°F.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Denver on March 24?
Highest temperature in Denver on March 24?
78-79°F 99.0%
84-85°F 1.7%
80-81°F <1%
82-83°F <1%
$147,243 Vol.
$147,243 Vol.
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
99%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
2%
86-87°F
<1%
88°F or higher
<1%
78-79°F 99.0%
84-85°F 1.7%
80-81°F <1%
82-83°F <1%
$147,243 Vol.
$147,243 Vol.
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
99%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
2%
86-87°F
<1%
88°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckly Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 20, 2026, 6:19 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/denver/KDENResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
Dispute window
Final
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/denver/KDENResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus heavily favors a Denver high of 78-79°F on March 24, driven by the National Weather Service's latest forecast pinpointing 79°F amid a persistent high-pressure ridge fostering downslope chinook winds that amplify spring warming. Ensemble models from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF align closely, projecting peaks in this bin with low spread, consistent with historical March outliers where Denver has hit 77°F+ on 5% of days under similar synoptic patterns. Verified observations from Denver International Airport show recent days trending 5-10°F above seasonal norms of ~57°F. Realistic challenges include an unanticipated cold frontal passage or increased low-level cloud cover, which could shave 3-5°F off peaks per model sensitivity tests, nudging outcomes toward 76-77°F.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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