Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models project Beijing's highest temperature on April 3 at 20-22°C amid a persistent high-pressure ridge carrying over from late March, which has stabilized daytime highs in this range with partly cloudy skies and moderate southerly winds at 5-15 mph enhancing slight warming potential. Trader sentiment reflects this tight model consensus, with implied probabilities closely matched for 21°C (24%), 20°C (23%), and 22°C (22.5%), as small variations in cloud cover, solar insolation, and wind speeds could differentiate outcomes—greater clarity or stronger southerlies favoring higher readings, while increased cloudiness pulling toward the lower end. Daily updates from the China Meteorological Administration and global models will sharpen these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Beijing on April 3?
Highest temperature in Beijing on April 3?
21°C 25%
20°C 23%
22°C 23%
23°C 17%
$13,903 Vol.
$13,903 Vol.
Apr 3, 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
3%
19°C
14%
20°C
23%
21°C
25%
22°C
23%
23°C
17%
24°C
5%
25°C
2%
26°C or higher
2%
21°C 25%
20°C 23%
22°C 23%
23°C 17%
$13,903 Vol.
$13,903 Vol.
Apr 3, 2026
16°C or below
$1,253 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$1,418 Vol.
1%
18°C
$1,230 Vol.
3%
19°C
$1,048 Vol.
14%
20°C
$908 Vol.
23%
21°C
$1,020 Vol.
25%
22°C
$1,164 Vol.
23%
23°C
$1,189 Vol.
17%
24°C
$784 Vol.
5%
25°C
$1,276 Vol.
2%
26°C or higher
$2,653 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models project Beijing's highest temperature on April 3 at 20-22°C amid a persistent high-pressure ridge carrying over from late March, which has stabilized daytime highs in this range with partly cloudy skies and moderate southerly winds at 5-15 mph enhancing slight warming potential. Trader sentiment reflects this tight model consensus, with implied probabilities closely matched for 21°C (24%), 20°C (23%), and 22°C (22.5%), as small variations in cloud cover, solar insolation, and wind speeds could differentiate outcomes—greater clarity or stronger southerlies favoring higher readings, while increased cloudiness pulling toward the lower end. Daily updates from the China Meteorological Administration and global models will sharpen these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 29, 2026, 3:14 PM ET
Volume
$13,903End Date
Apr 3, 2026Market Opened
Mar 29, 2026, 3:14 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models project Beijing's highest temperature on April 3 at 20-22°C amid a persistent high-pressure ridge carrying over from late March, which has stabilized daytime highs in this range with partly cloudy skies and moderate southerly winds at 5-15 mph enhancing slight warming potential. Trader sentiment reflects this tight model consensus, with implied probabilities closely matched for 21°C (24%), 20°C (23%), and 22°C (22.5%), as small variations in cloud cover, solar insolation, and wind speeds could differentiate outcomes—greater clarity or stronger southerlies favoring higher readings, while increased cloudiness pulling toward the lower end. Daily updates from the China Meteorological Administration and global models will sharpen these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$13,903End Date
Apr 3, 2026Market Opened
Mar 29, 2026, 3:14 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models project Beijing's highest temperature on April 3 at 20-22°C amid a persistent high-pressure ridge carrying over from late March, which has stabilized daytime highs in this range with partly cloudy skies and moderate southerly winds at 5-15 mph enhancing slight warming potential. Trader sentiment reflects this tight model consensus, with implied probabilities closely matched for 21°C (24%), 20°C (23%), and 22°C (22.5%), as small variations in cloud cover, solar insolation, and wind speeds could differentiate outcomes—greater clarity or stronger southerlies favoring higher readings, while increased cloudiness pulling toward the lower end. Daily updates from the China Meteorological Administration and global models will sharpen these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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