Latest ensemble forecasts from global models like ECMWF and GFS equivalents, alongside China Meteorological Administration guidance, project Wuhan's highest temperature at Tianhe International Airport on April 5 around 24-25°C, fueling the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities near 24°C (23.5%) and 27°C or higher (28%). This reflects a mild warming trend after early-week rain and clouds, with southerly winds promoting highs above the early-April climatological average of 21°C, though model spread arises from uncertainty in cloud cover and potential weak cold air intrusions that could cap peaks at 23-24°C or allow clearer skies to push toward 26-27°C. Traders await tomorrow's updated runs from official agencies, as three-day forecasts carry ±2-3°C uncertainty typical of spring frontal variability.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Wuhan on April 5?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 5?
27°C or higher 25%
26°C 24%
24°C 19%
25°C 17%
NEW
NEW
Apr 5, 2026
17°C or below
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
2%
21°C
3%
22°C
7%
23°C
13%
24°C
19%
25°C
17%
26°C
24%
27°C or higher
22%
27°C or higher 25%
26°C 24%
24°C 19%
25°C 17%
NEW
NEW
Apr 5, 2026
17°C or below
$286 Vol.
1%
18°C
$246 Vol.
1%
19°C
$113 Vol.
1%
20°C
$143 Vol.
2%
21°C
$197 Vol.
3%
22°C
$151 Vol.
7%
23°C
$170 Vol.
13%
24°C
$203 Vol.
19%
25°C
$178 Vol.
17%
26°C
$189 Vol.
24%
27°C or higher
$180 Vol.
22%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from global models like ECMWF and GFS equivalents, alongside China Meteorological Administration guidance, project Wuhan's highest temperature at Tianhe International Airport on April 5 around 24-25°C, fueling the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities near 24°C (23.5%) and 27°C or higher (28%). This reflects a mild warming trend after early-week rain and clouds, with southerly winds promoting highs above the early-April climatological average of 21°C, though model spread arises from uncertainty in cloud cover and potential weak cold air intrusions that could cap peaks at 23-24°C or allow clearer skies to push toward 26-27°C. Traders await tomorrow's updated runs from official agencies, as three-day forecasts carry ±2-3°C uncertainty typical of spring frontal variability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 1, 2026, 6:16 AM ET
Volume
$2,055End Date
Apr 5, 2026Market Opened
Apr 1, 2026, 6:16 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from global models like ECMWF and GFS equivalents, alongside China Meteorological Administration guidance, project Wuhan's highest temperature at Tianhe International Airport on April 5 around 24-25°C, fueling the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities near 24°C (23.5%) and 27°C or higher (28%). This reflects a mild warming trend after early-week rain and clouds, with southerly winds promoting highs above the early-April climatological average of 21°C, though model spread arises from uncertainty in cloud cover and potential weak cold air intrusions that could cap peaks at 23-24°C or allow clearer skies to push toward 26-27°C. Traders await tomorrow's updated runs from official agencies, as three-day forecasts carry ±2-3°C uncertainty typical of spring frontal variability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$2,055End Date
Apr 5, 2026Market Opened
Apr 1, 2026, 6:16 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from global models like ECMWF and GFS equivalents, alongside China Meteorological Administration guidance, project Wuhan's highest temperature at Tianhe International Airport on April 5 around 24-25°C, fueling the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities near 24°C (23.5%) and 27°C or higher (28%). This reflects a mild warming trend after early-week rain and clouds, with southerly winds promoting highs above the early-April climatological average of 21°C, though model spread arises from uncertainty in cloud cover and potential weak cold air intrusions that could cap peaks at 23-24°C or allow clearer skies to push toward 26-27°C. Traders await tomorrow's updated runs from official agencies, as three-day forecasts carry ±2-3°C uncertainty typical of spring frontal variability.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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