Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters tightly around 19–22°C for Beijing's highest temperature on April 2, reflecting short-range forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models like ECMWF ensembles projecting daytime highs in the late teens to low 20s°C under typical early-spring conditions. Recent model runs indicate slight spread due to potential northerly cold air intrusions from Siberia, variable cloud cover, and gusty winds that could suppress peaks by 2–3°C, while sunny breaks favor upper-end outcomes. Historical early-April averages hover near 19°C, with lows around 5–8°C, underscoring the transition from winter chills. Daily updates from CMA expected by April 1 could refine this uncertainty as the resolution window approaches.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Beijing on April 2?
Highest temperature in Beijing on April 2?
21°C 30%
20°C 27%
19°C 22%
22°C 20%
NEW
NEW
Apr 2, 2026
16°C or below
2%
17°C
8%
18°C
13%
19°C
22%
20°C
27%
21°C
25%
22°C
19%
23°C
11%
24°C
4%
25°C
7%
26°C or higher
3%
21°C 30%
20°C 27%
19°C 22%
22°C 20%
NEW
NEW
Apr 2, 2026
16°C or below
$159 Vol.
2%
17°C
$74 Vol.
8%
18°C
$29 Vol.
13%
19°C
$30 Vol.
22%
20°C
$81 Vol.
27%
21°C
$36 Vol.
25%
22°C
$30 Vol.
19%
23°C
$30 Vol.
11%
24°C
$82 Vol.
4%
25°C
$34 Vol.
7%
26°C or higher
$529 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters tightly around 19–22°C for Beijing's highest temperature on April 2, reflecting short-range forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models like ECMWF ensembles projecting daytime highs in the late teens to low 20s°C under typical early-spring conditions. Recent model runs indicate slight spread due to potential northerly cold air intrusions from Siberia, variable cloud cover, and gusty winds that could suppress peaks by 2–3°C, while sunny breaks favor upper-end outcomes. Historical early-April averages hover near 19°C, with lows around 5–8°C, underscoring the transition from winter chills. Daily updates from CMA expected by April 1 could refine this uncertainty as the resolution window approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 29, 2026, 2:30 PM ET
Volume
$1,114End Date
Apr 2, 2026Market Opened
Mar 29, 2026, 2:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters tightly around 19–22°C for Beijing's highest temperature on April 2, reflecting short-range forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models like ECMWF ensembles projecting daytime highs in the late teens to low 20s°C under typical early-spring conditions. Recent model runs indicate slight spread due to potential northerly cold air intrusions from Siberia, variable cloud cover, and gusty winds that could suppress peaks by 2–3°C, while sunny breaks favor upper-end outcomes. Historical early-April averages hover near 19°C, with lows around 5–8°C, underscoring the transition from winter chills. Daily updates from CMA expected by April 1 could refine this uncertainty as the resolution window approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$1,114End Date
Apr 2, 2026Market Opened
Mar 29, 2026, 2:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters tightly around 19–22°C for Beijing's highest temperature on April 2, reflecting short-range forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models like ECMWF ensembles projecting daytime highs in the late teens to low 20s°C under typical early-spring conditions. Recent model runs indicate slight spread due to potential northerly cold air intrusions from Siberia, variable cloud cover, and gusty winds that could suppress peaks by 2–3°C, while sunny breaks favor upper-end outcomes. Historical early-April averages hover near 19°C, with lows around 5–8°C, underscoring the transition from winter chills. Daily updates from CMA expected by April 1 could refine this uncertainty as the resolution window approaches.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions