Observational data from Beijing Capital International Airport's official meteorological station, relayed via China Meteorological Administration (CMA) bulletins and METAR reports, confirm the highest temperature on April 4 reached 18°C around 15:00 local time, with morning lows near 7°C under fine conditions and light northerly winds. This peak, below the typical early-April average of 20°C, reflects a cooler air mass and partial cloud cover suppressing daytime heating, aligning with ensemble model outputs from prior days. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects this verified evidence. Final CMA daily summary could challenge it only via rare data revision uncovering a higher hourly reading, though diurnal patterns make this improbable.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Beijing on April 4?
Highest temperature in Beijing on April 4?
18°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$156,610 Vol.
$156,610 Vol.
Apr 4, 2026
13°C or below
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
Yes
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C or higher
No
18°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$156,610 Vol.
$156,610 Vol.
Apr 4, 2026
13°C or below
$4,302 Vol.
No
14°C
$2,092 Vol.
No
15°C
$6,276 Vol.
No
16°C
$10,110 Vol.
No
17°C
$17,238 Vol.
No
18°C
$64,527 Vol.
Yes
19°C
$8,556 Vol.
No
20°C
$10,671 Vol.
No
21°C
$14,702 Vol.
No
22°C
$9,520 Vol.
No
23°C or higher
$8,614 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Observational data from Beijing Capital International Airport's official meteorological station, relayed via China Meteorological Administration (CMA) bulletins and METAR reports, confirm the highest temperature on April 4 reached 18°C around 15:00 local time, with morning lows near 7°C under fine conditions and light northerly winds. This peak, below the typical early-April average of 20°C, reflects a cooler air mass and partial cloud cover suppressing daytime heating, aligning with ensemble model outputs from prior days. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects this verified evidence. Final CMA daily summary could challenge it only via rare data revision uncovering a higher hourly reading, though diurnal patterns make this improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 29, 2026, 4:04 PM ET
Volume
$156,610End Date
Apr 4, 2026Market Opened
Mar 29, 2026, 4:04 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Observational data from Beijing Capital International Airport's official meteorological station, relayed via China Meteorological Administration (CMA) bulletins and METAR reports, confirm the highest temperature on April 4 reached 18°C around 15:00 local time, with morning lows near 7°C under fine conditions and light northerly winds. This peak, below the typical early-April average of 20°C, reflects a cooler air mass and partial cloud cover suppressing daytime heating, aligning with ensemble model outputs from prior days. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects this verified evidence. Final CMA daily summary could challenge it only via rare data revision uncovering a higher hourly reading, though diurnal patterns make this improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$156,610End Date
Apr 4, 2026Market Opened
Mar 29, 2026, 4:04 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Observational data from Beijing Capital International Airport's official meteorological station, relayed via China Meteorological Administration (CMA) bulletins and METAR reports, confirm the highest temperature on April 4 reached 18°C around 15:00 local time, with morning lows near 7°C under fine conditions and light northerly winds. This peak, below the typical early-April average of 20°C, reflects a cooler air mass and partial cloud cover suppressing daytime heating, aligning with ensemble model outputs from prior days. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects this verified evidence. Final CMA daily summary could challenge it only via rare data revision uncovering a higher hourly reading, though diurnal patterns make this improbable.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions