Trader consensus on Polymarket favors 22°C (23%) and 23°C (21%) as the highest temperature in Chongqing on April 5, driven by recent China Meteorological Administration forecasts and global models like GFS and ECMWF showing persistent overcast conditions and early showers capping daytime highs amid spring frontal activity. Current April 2 observations of cloudy skies and a 22°C high underscore moisture-laden southerly flows in the Yangtze River basin, which trap low clouds and reduce insolation compared to clearer historical early-April norms around 21°C. Differentiating factors include model spreads on cloud dissipation—more persistent overcast favors 21°C (17.5%), while partial clearing could push to 24°C (15%)—with daily updates expected to refine probabilities as boundary layer forecasts evolve.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Chongqing on April 5?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on April 5?
22°C 22%
23°C 22%
21°C 18%
24°C 16%
17°C or below
1%
18°C
5%
19°C
9%
20°C
9%
21°C
18%
22°C
22%
23°C
22%
24°C
16%
25°C
10%
26°C
7%
27°C or higher
5%
22°C 22%
23°C 22%
21°C 18%
24°C 16%
17°C or below
1%
18°C
5%
19°C
9%
20°C
9%
21°C
18%
22°C
22%
23°C
22%
24°C
16%
25°C
10%
26°C
7%
27°C or higher
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 1, 2026, 6:23 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors 22°C (23%) and 23°C (21%) as the highest temperature in Chongqing on April 5, driven by recent China Meteorological Administration forecasts and global models like GFS and ECMWF showing persistent overcast conditions and early showers capping daytime highs amid spring frontal activity. Current April 2 observations of cloudy skies and a 22°C high underscore moisture-laden southerly flows in the Yangtze River basin, which trap low clouds and reduce insolation compared to clearer historical early-April norms around 21°C. Differentiating factors include model spreads on cloud dissipation—more persistent overcast favors 21°C (17.5%), while partial clearing could push to 24°C (15%)—with daily updates expected to refine probabilities as boundary layer forecasts evolve.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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