Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in National Weather Service forecasts for Dallas's highest temperature on April 6, with implied probabilities clustered around 72-73°F (26.5%) amid a post-cold front regime. A cold front arriving late Friday into Saturday will usher cooler upper-60s to low-70s highs persisting into early next week, tempering recent warmth from record-setting March averages of 67.6°F and early April peaks near 85°F. Model ensembles like GFS show spread due to front timing, lingering cloud cover, and light winds (5-10 mph easterly), potentially differentiating outcomes between mid-70s clearing or sub-70°F persistence. Watch NWS updates Saturday for refined guidance ahead of resolution at Dallas-Fort Worth Airport.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Dallas on April 6?
Highest temperature in Dallas on April 6?
72-73°F 24%
70-71°F 20%
74-75°F 18%
76-77°F 13%
63°F or below
7%
64-65°F
8%
66-67°F
9%
68-69°F
16%
70-71°F
20%
72-73°F
24%
74-75°F
18%
76-77°F
13%
78-79°F
11%
80-81°F
9%
82°F or higher
6%
72-73°F 24%
70-71°F 20%
74-75°F 18%
76-77°F 13%
63°F or below
7%
64-65°F
8%
66-67°F
9%
68-69°F
16%
70-71°F
20%
72-73°F
24%
74-75°F
18%
76-77°F
13%
78-79°F
11%
80-81°F
9%
82°F or higher
6%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 2, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in National Weather Service forecasts for Dallas's highest temperature on April 6, with implied probabilities clustered around 72-73°F (26.5%) amid a post-cold front regime. A cold front arriving late Friday into Saturday will usher cooler upper-60s to low-70s highs persisting into early next week, tempering recent warmth from record-setting March averages of 67.6°F and early April peaks near 85°F. Model ensembles like GFS show spread due to front timing, lingering cloud cover, and light winds (5-10 mph easterly), potentially differentiating outcomes between mid-70s clearing or sub-70°F persistence. Watch NWS updates Saturday for refined guidance ahead of resolution at Dallas-Fort Worth Airport.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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