Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in National Weather Service (NWS) forecasts for Dallas Love Field, with highs projected in the upper 60s to low 70s on April 5 amid a cooling trend following record-warm March temperatures across Texas. Recent model runs from the Global Forecast System (GFS) and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) show consensus around 68-73°F, driven by an incoming upper-level trough ushering cooler mid-level air and potential lingering cloud cover from ongoing showers through April 4. Differentiating factors include the exact timing of frontal passage, which could enhance mixing for slightly higher peaks near 72°F, versus persistent low clouds capping temperatures at 68-69°F; solar insolation and boundary-layer winds remain key variables. Watch NWS updates Saturday for refined guidance ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Dallas on April 5?
Highest temperature in Dallas on April 5?
70-71°F 29%
68-69°F 26%
72-73°F 16%
66-67°F 14%
$13,340 Vol.
$13,340 Vol.
55°F or below
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
2%
64-65°F
4%
66-67°F
14%
68-69°F
26%
70-71°F
29%
72-73°F
16%
74°F or higher
11%
70-71°F 29%
68-69°F 26%
72-73°F 16%
66-67°F 14%
$13,340 Vol.
$13,340 Vol.
55°F or below
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
2%
64-65°F
4%
66-67°F
14%
68-69°F
26%
70-71°F
29%
72-73°F
16%
74°F or higher
11%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in National Weather Service (NWS) forecasts for Dallas Love Field, with highs projected in the upper 60s to low 70s on April 5 amid a cooling trend following record-warm March temperatures across Texas. Recent model runs from the Global Forecast System (GFS) and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) show consensus around 68-73°F, driven by an incoming upper-level trough ushering cooler mid-level air and potential lingering cloud cover from ongoing showers through April 4. Differentiating factors include the exact timing of frontal passage, which could enhance mixing for slightly higher peaks near 72°F, versus persistent low clouds capping temperatures at 68-69°F; solar insolation and boundary-layer winds remain key variables. Watch NWS updates Saturday for refined guidance ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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