Latest Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance for Mexico City indicates maximum temperatures around 25-27°C on April 7, driving trader consensus toward 25°C (30.5% implied probability) and 26°C (28.5%), with 24°C viable if afternoon clouds develop. High elevation at 2,240 meters tempers peaks amid dry-season conditions and a stable subtropical ridge promoting diurnal heating, but northerly winds and potential bruma (haze) introduce variability. Recent days saw highs of 26-29°C with minimal precipitation, aligning with April climatology averaging 26°C. Ensemble models like GFS show slight spread due to cloud cover uncertainty; watch SMN updates tomorrow for refined guidance ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Mexico City on April 7?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on April 7?
25°C 30%
26°C 30%
24°C 21%
23°C 9%
19°C or below
1%
20°C
2%
21°C
8%
22°C
7%
23°C
9%
24°C
21%
25°C
30%
26°C
30%
27°C
5%
28°C
5%
29°C or higher
3%
25°C 30%
26°C 30%
24°C 21%
23°C 9%
19°C or below
1%
20°C
2%
21°C
8%
22°C
7%
23°C
9%
24°C
21%
25°C
30%
26°C
30%
27°C
5%
28°C
5%
29°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 3, 2026, 6:48 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance for Mexico City indicates maximum temperatures around 25-27°C on April 7, driving trader consensus toward 25°C (30.5% implied probability) and 26°C (28.5%), with 24°C viable if afternoon clouds develop. High elevation at 2,240 meters tempers peaks amid dry-season conditions and a stable subtropical ridge promoting diurnal heating, but northerly winds and potential bruma (haze) introduce variability. Recent days saw highs of 26-29°C with minimal precipitation, aligning with April climatology averaging 26°C. Ensemble models like GFS show slight spread due to cloud cover uncertainty; watch SMN updates tomorrow for refined guidance ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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