Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models, as tracked by ARPA Lombardia, show Milan's highest temperature on April 7 clustering around 24-26°C amid a strengthening high-pressure ridge bringing clear skies and subsidence warming over the Po Valley. Trader sentiment reflects this tight spread, with 24°C leading at 25.5% implied probability due to the ensemble mean, while 25°C and 26°C trail closely as some members project enhanced solar insolation and urban heat effects in Milan boosting peaks higher. Differentiating factors include model variances in boundary layer mixing and afternoon cloud development risks; historical April averages hover near 18-19°C, but current mild advection elevates the outlook. New 00Z runs and ARPA bulletins expected within 24 hours could refine probabilities before resolution based on official Linate Airport observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Milan on April 7?
Highest temperature in Milan on April 7?
24°C 26%
23°C 20%
25°C 20%
26°C 20%
NEW
NEW
Apr 7, 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
3%
22°C
7%
23°C
16%
24°C
26%
25°C
20%
26°C
20%
27°C or higher
13%
24°C 26%
23°C 20%
25°C 20%
26°C 20%
NEW
NEW
Apr 7, 2026
17°C or below
$304 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$870 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$587 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$165 Vol.
1%
21°C
$312 Vol.
3%
22°C
$96 Vol.
7%
23°C
$113 Vol.
16%
24°C
$121 Vol.
26%
25°C
$104 Vol.
20%
26°C
$155 Vol.
20%
27°C or higher
$137 Vol.
13%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models, as tracked by ARPA Lombardia, show Milan's highest temperature on April 7 clustering around 24-26°C amid a strengthening high-pressure ridge bringing clear skies and subsidence warming over the Po Valley. Trader sentiment reflects this tight spread, with 24°C leading at 25.5% implied probability due to the ensemble mean, while 25°C and 26°C trail closely as some members project enhanced solar insolation and urban heat effects in Milan boosting peaks higher. Differentiating factors include model variances in boundary layer mixing and afternoon cloud development risks; historical April averages hover near 18-19°C, but current mild advection elevates the outlook. New 00Z runs and ARPA bulletins expected within 24 hours could refine probabilities before resolution based on official Linate Airport observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 3, 2026, 6:32 AM ET
Volume
$2,964End Date
Apr 7, 2026Market Opened
Apr 3, 2026, 6:32 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models, as tracked by ARPA Lombardia, show Milan's highest temperature on April 7 clustering around 24-26°C amid a strengthening high-pressure ridge bringing clear skies and subsidence warming over the Po Valley. Trader sentiment reflects this tight spread, with 24°C leading at 25.5% implied probability due to the ensemble mean, while 25°C and 26°C trail closely as some members project enhanced solar insolation and urban heat effects in Milan boosting peaks higher. Differentiating factors include model variances in boundary layer mixing and afternoon cloud development risks; historical April averages hover near 18-19°C, but current mild advection elevates the outlook. New 00Z runs and ARPA bulletins expected within 24 hours could refine probabilities before resolution based on official Linate Airport observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$2,964End Date
Apr 7, 2026Market Opened
Apr 3, 2026, 6:32 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models, as tracked by ARPA Lombardia, show Milan's highest temperature on April 7 clustering around 24-26°C amid a strengthening high-pressure ridge bringing clear skies and subsidence warming over the Po Valley. Trader sentiment reflects this tight spread, with 24°C leading at 25.5% implied probability due to the ensemble mean, while 25°C and 26°C trail closely as some members project enhanced solar insolation and urban heat effects in Milan boosting peaks higher. Differentiating factors include model variances in boundary layer mixing and afternoon cloud development risks; historical April averages hover near 18-19°C, but current mild advection elevates the outlook. New 00Z runs and ARPA bulletins expected within 24 hours could refine probabilities before resolution based on official Linate Airport observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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