Trader consensus has locked in 54-55°F at 100% implied probability for Seattle's highest temperature on April 7, 2026, backed by official Weather Underground observations from Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA), the authoritative station, recording a peak of 55°F around 5 PM amid partly cloudy skies and light westerly winds. This aligns with National Weather Service forecasts anticipating mid-50s highs after April 6's unusually warm 72°F—Seattle's first 70-degree day of 2026—due to strengthening onshore flow introducing cooler marine air and suppressing daytime heating. Historical April normals hover near 57°F, but model consensus captured the cooldown accurately. Realistic challenges are minimal post-resolution, limited to rare data audits revealing overlooked peaks, though KSEA's automated records are highly reliable.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Seattle on April 7?
Highest temperature in Seattle on April 7?
54-55°F 100.0%
53°F or below <1%
56-57°F <1%
58-59°F <1%
$107,468 Vol.
$107,468 Vol.
Apr 7, 2026
53°F or below
No
54-55°F
Yes
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72°F or higher
No
54-55°F 100.0%
53°F or below <1%
56-57°F <1%
58-59°F <1%
$107,468 Vol.
$107,468 Vol.
Apr 7, 2026
53°F or below
$21,320 Vol.
No
54-55°F
$25,467 Vol.
Yes
56-57°F
$10,953 Vol.
No
58-59°F
$7,804 Vol.
No
60-61°F
$5,032 Vol.
No
62-63°F
$5,171 Vol.
No
64-65°F
$6,114 Vol.
No
66-67°F
$5,262 Vol.
No
68-69°F
$9,025 Vol.
No
70-71°F
$6,480 Vol.
No
72°F or higher
$4,839 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus has locked in 54-55°F at 100% implied probability for Seattle's highest temperature on April 7, 2026, backed by official Weather Underground observations from Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA), the authoritative station, recording a peak of 55°F around 5 PM amid partly cloudy skies and light westerly winds. This aligns with National Weather Service forecasts anticipating mid-50s highs after April 6's unusually warm 72°F—Seattle's first 70-degree day of 2026—due to strengthening onshore flow introducing cooler marine air and suppressing daytime heating. Historical April normals hover near 57°F, but model consensus captured the cooldown accurately. Realistic challenges are minimal post-resolution, limited to rare data audits revealing overlooked peaks, though KSEA's automated records are highly reliable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 3, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Volume
$107,468End Date
Apr 7, 2026Market Opened
Apr 3, 2026, 6:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus has locked in 54-55°F at 100% implied probability for Seattle's highest temperature on April 7, 2026, backed by official Weather Underground observations from Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA), the authoritative station, recording a peak of 55°F around 5 PM amid partly cloudy skies and light westerly winds. This aligns with National Weather Service forecasts anticipating mid-50s highs after April 6's unusually warm 72°F—Seattle's first 70-degree day of 2026—due to strengthening onshore flow introducing cooler marine air and suppressing daytime heating. Historical April normals hover near 57°F, but model consensus captured the cooldown accurately. Realistic challenges are minimal post-resolution, limited to rare data audits revealing overlooked peaks, though KSEA's automated records are highly reliable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$107,468End Date
Apr 7, 2026Market Opened
Apr 3, 2026, 6:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Trader consensus has locked in 54-55°F at 100% implied probability for Seattle's highest temperature on April 7, 2026, backed by official Weather Underground observations from Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA), the authoritative station, recording a peak of 55°F around 5 PM amid partly cloudy skies and light westerly winds. This aligns with National Weather Service forecasts anticipating mid-50s highs after April 6's unusually warm 72°F—Seattle's first 70-degree day of 2026—due to strengthening onshore flow introducing cooler marine air and suppressing daytime heating. Historical April normals hover near 57°F, but model consensus captured the cooldown accurately. Realistic challenges are minimal post-resolution, limited to rare data audits revealing overlooked peaks, though KSEA's automated records are highly reliable.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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