Trader consensus on Polymarket closely mirrors the latest Met Office and BBC Weather forecasts, both projecting a 15°C high for London on April 6 under sunny intervals and gentle breezes following a slight cooldown to 12–13°C the prior day. The razor-thin split between 14°C (31.5% implied probability) and 15°C (29%) stems from ensemble model variability, where partial cloud cover could cap peaks at 14°C, while clearer skies and mild southerly flow favor 15°C amid transitioning high-pressure influence from recent mild March conditions. Early April climatology averages 13°C, underscoring inherent short-range forecast uncertainty; monitor Met Office updates through April 5 for potential refinements ahead of resolution based on official Heathrow observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in London on April 6?
Highest temperature in London on April 6?
14°C 31%
15°C 29%
13°C 15%
16°C 13%
NEW
NEW
Apr 6, 2026
9°C or below
1%
10°C
2%
11°C
8%
12°C
7%
13°C
15%
14°C
31%
15°C
29%
16°C
13%
17°C
5%
18°C
2%
19°C or higher
2%
14°C 31%
15°C 29%
13°C 15%
16°C 13%
NEW
NEW
Apr 6, 2026
9°C or below
$1,456 Vol.
1%
10°C
$527 Vol.
2%
11°C
$541 Vol.
8%
12°C
$809 Vol.
7%
13°C
$462 Vol.
15%
14°C
$432 Vol.
31%
15°C
$511 Vol.
29%
16°C
$333 Vol.
13%
17°C
$353 Vol.
5%
18°C
$227 Vol.
2%
19°C or higher
$258 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely mirrors the latest Met Office and BBC Weather forecasts, both projecting a 15°C high for London on April 6 under sunny intervals and gentle breezes following a slight cooldown to 12–13°C the prior day. The razor-thin split between 14°C (31.5% implied probability) and 15°C (29%) stems from ensemble model variability, where partial cloud cover could cap peaks at 14°C, while clearer skies and mild southerly flow favor 15°C amid transitioning high-pressure influence from recent mild March conditions. Early April climatology averages 13°C, underscoring inherent short-range forecast uncertainty; monitor Met Office updates through April 5 for potential refinements ahead of resolution based on official Heathrow observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 2, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Volume
$5,910End Date
Apr 6, 2026Market Opened
Apr 2, 2026, 6:01 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely mirrors the latest Met Office and BBC Weather forecasts, both projecting a 15°C high for London on April 6 under sunny intervals and gentle breezes following a slight cooldown to 12–13°C the prior day. The razor-thin split between 14°C (31.5% implied probability) and 15°C (29%) stems from ensemble model variability, where partial cloud cover could cap peaks at 14°C, while clearer skies and mild southerly flow favor 15°C amid transitioning high-pressure influence from recent mild March conditions. Early April climatology averages 13°C, underscoring inherent short-range forecast uncertainty; monitor Met Office updates through April 5 for potential refinements ahead of resolution based on official Heathrow observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$5,910End Date
Apr 6, 2026Market Opened
Apr 2, 2026, 6:01 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket closely mirrors the latest Met Office and BBC Weather forecasts, both projecting a 15°C high for London on April 6 under sunny intervals and gentle breezes following a slight cooldown to 12–13°C the prior day. The razor-thin split between 14°C (31.5% implied probability) and 15°C (29%) stems from ensemble model variability, where partial cloud cover could cap peaks at 14°C, while clearer skies and mild southerly flow favor 15°C amid transitioning high-pressure influence from recent mild March conditions. Early April climatology averages 13°C, underscoring inherent short-range forecast uncertainty; monitor Met Office updates through April 5 for potential refinements ahead of resolution based on official Heathrow observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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