Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in Panama City's highest temperature on April 7, with market-implied odds tightly clustered around 31–36°C due to inherent variability in short-term forecasts during the dry-to-wet season transition. Recent model guidance from sources like AccuWeather and local IMHPA updates project daytime highs of 30–34°C amid persistent high solar insolation and humidity above 70%, but afternoon convective showers or increased cloud cover could cap peaks at 31–32°C, while sunnier conditions might push toward 35–36°C. April climatology shows average maxima near 32°C with a 2–3°C daily range influenced by sea breeze fronts and upper-level winds; expect refined probabilities from updated ECMWF and GFS runs by April 6, alongside official observations from Tocumen Airport station.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Panama City on April 7?
Highest temperature in Panama City on April 7?
33°C 33%
31°C 32%
32°C 29%
34°C 27%
NEW
NEW
Apr 7, 2026
26°C or below
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
12%
29°C
6%
30°C
22%
31°C
32%
32°C
29%
33°C
33%
34°C
27%
35°C
11%
36°C or higher
10%
33°C 33%
31°C 32%
32°C 29%
34°C 27%
NEW
NEW
Apr 7, 2026
26°C or below
$321 Vol.
1%
27°C
$108 Vol.
1%
28°C
$38 Vol.
12%
29°C
$38 Vol.
6%
30°C
$38 Vol.
22%
31°C
$38 Vol.
32%
32°C
$38 Vol.
29%
33°C
$43 Vol.
33%
34°C
$40 Vol.
27%
35°C
$38 Vol.
11%
36°C or higher
$52 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in Panama City's highest temperature on April 7, with market-implied odds tightly clustered around 31–36°C due to inherent variability in short-term forecasts during the dry-to-wet season transition. Recent model guidance from sources like AccuWeather and local IMHPA updates project daytime highs of 30–34°C amid persistent high solar insolation and humidity above 70%, but afternoon convective showers or increased cloud cover could cap peaks at 31–32°C, while sunnier conditions might push toward 35–36°C. April climatology shows average maxima near 32°C with a 2–3°C daily range influenced by sea breeze fronts and upper-level winds; expect refined probabilities from updated ECMWF and GFS runs by April 6, alongside official observations from Tocumen Airport station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 2, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Volume
$794End Date
Apr 7, 2026Market Opened
Apr 2, 2026, 9:29 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in Panama City's highest temperature on April 7, with market-implied odds tightly clustered around 31–36°C due to inherent variability in short-term forecasts during the dry-to-wet season transition. Recent model guidance from sources like AccuWeather and local IMHPA updates project daytime highs of 30–34°C amid persistent high solar insolation and humidity above 70%, but afternoon convective showers or increased cloud cover could cap peaks at 31–32°C, while sunnier conditions might push toward 35–36°C. April climatology shows average maxima near 32°C with a 2–3°C daily range influenced by sea breeze fronts and upper-level winds; expect refined probabilities from updated ECMWF and GFS runs by April 6, alongside official observations from Tocumen Airport station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$794End Date
Apr 7, 2026Market Opened
Apr 2, 2026, 9:29 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in Panama City's highest temperature on April 7, with market-implied odds tightly clustered around 31–36°C due to inherent variability in short-term forecasts during the dry-to-wet season transition. Recent model guidance from sources like AccuWeather and local IMHPA updates project daytime highs of 30–34°C amid persistent high solar insolation and humidity above 70%, but afternoon convective showers or increased cloud cover could cap peaks at 31–32°C, while sunnier conditions might push toward 35–36°C. April climatology shows average maxima near 32°C with a 2–3°C daily range influenced by sea breeze fronts and upper-level winds; expect refined probabilities from updated ECMWF and GFS runs by April 6, alongside official observations from Tocumen Airport station.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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