National Weather Service forecasts for Dallas indicate a high near 80°F on April 9 under partly sunny skies, driving the 97.8% market-implied probability for 70°F or higher as trader consensus reflects strong model agreement from GFS and ECMWF ensembles. This warming follows a post-frontal cool spell through midweek, with highs in the low 70s amid northwest flow aloft, transitioning to a strengthening upper ridge and southerly return flow that boosts temperatures above seasonal norms of around 78°F. NOAA's spring outlook supports above-normal warmth amid persistent drought. Realistic challenges include delayed ridge axis or unexpected early thunderstorms reducing insolation, though current guidance shows high confidence in the mild, dry pattern; watch NWS updates Tuesday through Wednesday for refinements.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Dallas on April 9?
Highest temperature in Dallas on April 9?
70°F or higher 97.8%
68-69°F 1.4%
66-67°F <1%
64-65°F <1%
$11,524 Vol.
$11,524 Vol.
51°F or below
<1%
52-53°F
<1%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
1%
70°F or higher
98%
70°F or higher 97.8%
68-69°F 1.4%
66-67°F <1%
64-65°F <1%
$11,524 Vol.
$11,524 Vol.
51°F or below
<1%
52-53°F
<1%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
1%
70°F or higher
98%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 5, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts for Dallas indicate a high near 80°F on April 9 under partly sunny skies, driving the 97.8% market-implied probability for 70°F or higher as trader consensus reflects strong model agreement from GFS and ECMWF ensembles. This warming follows a post-frontal cool spell through midweek, with highs in the low 70s amid northwest flow aloft, transitioning to a strengthening upper ridge and southerly return flow that boosts temperatures above seasonal norms of around 78°F. NOAA's spring outlook supports above-normal warmth amid persistent drought. Realistic challenges include delayed ridge axis or unexpected early thunderstorms reducing insolation, though current guidance shows high confidence in the mild, dry pattern; watch NWS updates Tuesday through Wednesday for refinements.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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