Meteorological Service Singapore's fortnightly outlook, issued April 1, forecasts inter-monsoon conditions ushering in frequent afternoon thundery showers for the first half of April 2026, with daily maximum temperatures ranging 33–35°C on most days despite increased cloud cover and light, variable winds. This drives trader consensus toward 32°C (38% implied probability) as the leading outcome, reflecting potential shower suppression of peaks below the upper forecast range, aligned with historical April averages around 31.5°C and recent variability—such as April 1's 34°C high. Probabilities taper for 33°C (27.5%) and below amid model uncertainty in exact cloud timing, with daily updates from MSS expected to refine land-based observations at Changi or Paya Lebar stations ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Singapore on April 5?
Highest temperature in Singapore on April 5?
32°C 39%
33°C 25%
31°C 22%
30°C 11%
NEW
NEW
Apr 5, 2026
25°C or below
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
11%
31°C
22%
32°C
39%
33°C
25%
34°C
10%
35°C or higher
2%
32°C 39%
33°C 25%
31°C 22%
30°C 11%
NEW
NEW
Apr 5, 2026
25°C or below
$1,156 Vol.
1%
26°C
$470 Vol.
1%
27°C
$563 Vol.
1%
28°C
$765 Vol.
1%
29°C
$1,030 Vol.
3%
30°C
$405 Vol.
11%
31°C
$385 Vol.
22%
32°C
$499 Vol.
39%
33°C
$394 Vol.
25%
34°C
$372 Vol.
10%
35°C or higher
$666 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Meteorological Service Singapore's fortnightly outlook, issued April 1, forecasts inter-monsoon conditions ushering in frequent afternoon thundery showers for the first half of April 2026, with daily maximum temperatures ranging 33–35°C on most days despite increased cloud cover and light, variable winds. This drives trader consensus toward 32°C (38% implied probability) as the leading outcome, reflecting potential shower suppression of peaks below the upper forecast range, aligned with historical April averages around 31.5°C and recent variability—such as April 1's 34°C high. Probabilities taper for 33°C (27.5%) and below amid model uncertainty in exact cloud timing, with daily updates from MSS expected to refine land-based observations at Changi or Paya Lebar stations ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 1, 2026, 6:07 AM ET
Volume
$6,706End Date
Apr 5, 2026Market Opened
Apr 1, 2026, 6:07 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Meteorological Service Singapore's fortnightly outlook, issued April 1, forecasts inter-monsoon conditions ushering in frequent afternoon thundery showers for the first half of April 2026, with daily maximum temperatures ranging 33–35°C on most days despite increased cloud cover and light, variable winds. This drives trader consensus toward 32°C (38% implied probability) as the leading outcome, reflecting potential shower suppression of peaks below the upper forecast range, aligned with historical April averages around 31.5°C and recent variability—such as April 1's 34°C high. Probabilities taper for 33°C (27.5%) and below amid model uncertainty in exact cloud timing, with daily updates from MSS expected to refine land-based observations at Changi or Paya Lebar stations ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$6,706End Date
Apr 5, 2026Market Opened
Apr 1, 2026, 6:07 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Meteorological Service Singapore's fortnightly outlook, issued April 1, forecasts inter-monsoon conditions ushering in frequent afternoon thundery showers for the first half of April 2026, with daily maximum temperatures ranging 33–35°C on most days despite increased cloud cover and light, variable winds. This drives trader consensus toward 32°C (38% implied probability) as the leading outcome, reflecting potential shower suppression of peaks below the upper forecast range, aligned with historical April averages around 31.5°C and recent variability—such as April 1's 34°C high. Probabilities taper for 33°C (27.5%) and below amid model uncertainty in exact cloud timing, with daily updates from MSS expected to refine land-based observations at Changi or Paya Lebar stations ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions