National Weather Service forecasts for Miami on April 5 indicate a high near 80°F amid a strengthening high-pressure ridge over Florida, driving trader sentiment toward closely matched 80-81°F (35%) and 82-83°F (33.5%) outcomes as the primary contenders. Ensemble guidance from GFS and ECMWF models clusters around 81-82°F, with mostly sunny conditions and light east winds of 10-15 mph supporting warm afternoons, though afternoon sea breeze onshore flow could moderate peaks by 1-2°F via enhanced mixing and potential thin cirrus clouds. Historical April 5 averages hover near 82°F, but subtle model divergences on ridge amplitude and cloud trends create the tight race. Updated 12Z model runs and NWS advisories later today may sharpen resolution criteria around Miami International Airport observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Miami on April 5?
Highest temperature in Miami on April 5?
80-81°F 34%
82-83°F 34%
84-85°F 15%
78-79°F 13%
NEW
NEW
Apr 5, 2026
73°F or below
1%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
3%
78-79°F
13%
80-81°F
34%
82-83°F
34%
84-85°F
15%
86-87°F
4%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F or higher
<1%
80-81°F 34%
82-83°F 34%
84-85°F 15%
78-79°F 13%
NEW
NEW
Apr 5, 2026
73°F or below
$841 Vol.
1%
74-75°F
$411 Vol.
2%
76-77°F
$434 Vol.
3%
78-79°F
$517 Vol.
13%
80-81°F
$587 Vol.
34%
82-83°F
$1,042 Vol.
34%
84-85°F
$365 Vol.
15%
86-87°F
$290 Vol.
4%
88-89°F
$311 Vol.
2%
90-91°F
$363 Vol.
<1%
92°F or higher
$382 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts for Miami on April 5 indicate a high near 80°F amid a strengthening high-pressure ridge over Florida, driving trader sentiment toward closely matched 80-81°F (35%) and 82-83°F (33.5%) outcomes as the primary contenders. Ensemble guidance from GFS and ECMWF models clusters around 81-82°F, with mostly sunny conditions and light east winds of 10-15 mph supporting warm afternoons, though afternoon sea breeze onshore flow could moderate peaks by 1-2°F via enhanced mixing and potential thin cirrus clouds. Historical April 5 averages hover near 82°F, but subtle model divergences on ridge amplitude and cloud trends create the tight race. Updated 12Z model runs and NWS advisories later today may sharpen resolution criteria around Miami International Airport observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Volume
$5,540End Date
Apr 5, 2026Market Opened
Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts for Miami on April 5 indicate a high near 80°F amid a strengthening high-pressure ridge over Florida, driving trader sentiment toward closely matched 80-81°F (35%) and 82-83°F (33.5%) outcomes as the primary contenders. Ensemble guidance from GFS and ECMWF models clusters around 81-82°F, with mostly sunny conditions and light east winds of 10-15 mph supporting warm afternoons, though afternoon sea breeze onshore flow could moderate peaks by 1-2°F via enhanced mixing and potential thin cirrus clouds. Historical April 5 averages hover near 82°F, but subtle model divergences on ridge amplitude and cloud trends create the tight race. Updated 12Z model runs and NWS advisories later today may sharpen resolution criteria around Miami International Airport observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$5,540End Date
Apr 5, 2026Market Opened
Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts for Miami on April 5 indicate a high near 80°F amid a strengthening high-pressure ridge over Florida, driving trader sentiment toward closely matched 80-81°F (35%) and 82-83°F (33.5%) outcomes as the primary contenders. Ensemble guidance from GFS and ECMWF models clusters around 81-82°F, with mostly sunny conditions and light east winds of 10-15 mph supporting warm afternoons, though afternoon sea breeze onshore flow could moderate peaks by 1-2°F via enhanced mixing and potential thin cirrus clouds. Historical April 5 averages hover near 82°F, but subtle model divergences on ridge amplitude and cloud trends create the tight race. Updated 12Z model runs and NWS advisories later today may sharpen resolution criteria around Miami International Airport observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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