MetService's latest forecast, issued April 5 for Wellington International Airport Station, projects a 19°C daytime high on April 9 amid mostly cloudy conditions and a 50% chance of showers until evening, with northwesterlies easing—factors anchoring trader sentiment around 18–20°C outcomes at 15–19% implied probabilities. Cloud cover will limit solar heating, while variable shower timing and wind direction introduce uncertainty, as reflected in ECMWF and GFS ensemble spreads of 2–3°C; fuller clearance could push toward 21–22°C, but persistence favors cooler maxima near the April historical average of 17°C. NIWA's neutral ENSO outlook supports near-average temperatures overall. Watch daily MetService updates through April 8 for refined model consensus on cloud breaks and frontal influences.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Wellington on April 9?
Highest temperature in Wellington on April 9?
19°C 28%
20°C 19%
18°C 17%
21°C 17%
NEW
NEW
Apr 9, 2026
12°C or below
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
9%
17°C
7%
18°C
17%
19°C
28%
20°C
19%
21°C
17%
22°C or higher
11%
19°C 28%
20°C 19%
18°C 17%
21°C 17%
NEW
NEW
Apr 9, 2026
12°C or below
$160 Vol.
1%
13°C
$277 Vol.
1%
14°C
$249 Vol.
1%
15°C
$240 Vol.
1%
16°C
$8 Vol.
9%
17°C
$13 Vol.
7%
18°C
$7 Vol.
17%
19°C
$128 Vol.
28%
20°C
$118 Vol.
19%
21°C
$39 Vol.
17%
22°C or higher
$35 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.MetService's latest forecast, issued April 5 for Wellington International Airport Station, projects a 19°C daytime high on April 9 amid mostly cloudy conditions and a 50% chance of showers until evening, with northwesterlies easing—factors anchoring trader sentiment around 18–20°C outcomes at 15–19% implied probabilities. Cloud cover will limit solar heating, while variable shower timing and wind direction introduce uncertainty, as reflected in ECMWF and GFS ensemble spreads of 2–3°C; fuller clearance could push toward 21–22°C, but persistence favors cooler maxima near the April historical average of 17°C. NIWA's neutral ENSO outlook supports near-average temperatures overall. Watch daily MetService updates through April 8 for refined model consensus on cloud breaks and frontal influences.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 5, 2026, 12:10 AM ET
Volume
$1,275End Date
Apr 9, 2026Market Opened
Apr 5, 2026, 12:10 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.MetService's latest forecast, issued April 5 for Wellington International Airport Station, projects a 19°C daytime high on April 9 amid mostly cloudy conditions and a 50% chance of showers until evening, with northwesterlies easing—factors anchoring trader sentiment around 18–20°C outcomes at 15–19% implied probabilities. Cloud cover will limit solar heating, while variable shower timing and wind direction introduce uncertainty, as reflected in ECMWF and GFS ensemble spreads of 2–3°C; fuller clearance could push toward 21–22°C, but persistence favors cooler maxima near the April historical average of 17°C. NIWA's neutral ENSO outlook supports near-average temperatures overall. Watch daily MetService updates through April 8 for refined model consensus on cloud breaks and frontal influences.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$1,275End Date
Apr 9, 2026Market Opened
Apr 5, 2026, 12:10 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...MetService's latest forecast, issued April 5 for Wellington International Airport Station, projects a 19°C daytime high on April 9 amid mostly cloudy conditions and a 50% chance of showers until evening, with northwesterlies easing—factors anchoring trader sentiment around 18–20°C outcomes at 15–19% implied probabilities. Cloud cover will limit solar heating, while variable shower timing and wind direction introduce uncertainty, as reflected in ECMWF and GFS ensemble spreads of 2–3°C; fuller clearance could push toward 21–22°C, but persistence favors cooler maxima near the April historical average of 17°C. NIWA's neutral ENSO outlook supports near-average temperatures overall. Watch daily MetService updates through April 8 for refined model consensus on cloud breaks and frontal influences.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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