Korea Meteorological Administration's latest short-term forecast projects Seoul's highest temperature on April 6 at 17°C amid an overcast morning with rain transitioning to cloudy skies, supporting the market's leading 29.5% implied probability for 17°C or higher, while medium-range guidance tempers this to 15°C with 60% precipitation odds. Trader consensus reflects model ensemble spread—ECMWF and GFS runs varying 12–18°C due to uncertain cold air advection from lingering Siberian highs versus southerly flow—elevating 7°C or below to 25% on risks of strengthened northerlies or persistent cloud cover suppressing daytime heating. Recent warming (17–21°C highs April 2–3) contrasts incoming frontal activity, with daily KMA updates and new global model runs through April 5 pivotal for resolution based on official station observations. Historical early-April averages hover near 15°C, underscoring spring variability.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Seoul on April 6?
Highest temperature in Seoul on April 6?
13°C 20%
14°C 19%
15°C 18%
12°C 16%
7°C or below
1%
8°C
2%
9°C
12%
10°C
12%
11°C
15%
12°C
16%
13°C
20%
14°C
19%
15°C
18%
16°C
15%
17°C or higher
7%
13°C 20%
14°C 19%
15°C 18%
12°C 16%
7°C or below
1%
8°C
2%
9°C
12%
10°C
12%
11°C
15%
12°C
16%
13°C
20%
14°C
19%
15°C
18%
16°C
15%
17°C or higher
7%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 2, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Korea Meteorological Administration's latest short-term forecast projects Seoul's highest temperature on April 6 at 17°C amid an overcast morning with rain transitioning to cloudy skies, supporting the market's leading 29.5% implied probability for 17°C or higher, while medium-range guidance tempers this to 15°C with 60% precipitation odds. Trader consensus reflects model ensemble spread—ECMWF and GFS runs varying 12–18°C due to uncertain cold air advection from lingering Siberian highs versus southerly flow—elevating 7°C or below to 25% on risks of strengthened northerlies or persistent cloud cover suppressing daytime heating. Recent warming (17–21°C highs April 2–3) contrasts incoming frontal activity, with daily KMA updates and new global model runs through April 5 pivotal for resolution based on official station observations. Historical early-April averages hover near 15°C, underscoring spring variability.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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