Current forecast consensus from global models including GFS and ECMWF points to a high temperature around 20°C in Buenos Aires on April 6, reflecting trader-implied odds clustered at 18–21°C amid a 45–55% uncertainty range for the precise peak. This positioning stems from a recent cold frontal passage after early April warmth—April 1–3 highs exceeded 26°C with thundershowers—now ushering persistent overcast skies and heavy rain on April 4–6, suppressing daytime heating via extensive cloud cover and southerly winds. Compared to the early-April climatological average of 22–23°C, the cooler outlook aligns with Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance on the low-pressure trough; however, model spreads highlight risks of brief clearing lifting to 22°C+ or intensified showers dropping below 18°C. Watch SMN updates and 00Z/12Z model runs for refinements before resolution at official Ezeiza station.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 6?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 6?
19°C 17%
20°C 17%
18°C 12%
24°C or higher 12%
NEW
NEW
Apr 6, 2026
14°C or below
1%
15°C
5%
16°C
8%
17°C
8%
18°C
12%
19°C
18%
20°C
20%
21°C
19%
22°C
11%
23°C
9%
24°C or higher
12%
19°C 17%
20°C 17%
18°C 12%
24°C or higher 12%
NEW
NEW
Apr 6, 2026
14°C or below
$288 Vol.
1%
15°C
$30 Vol.
5%
16°C
$0 Vol.
8%
17°C
$15 Vol.
8%
18°C
$25 Vol.
12%
19°C
$49 Vol.
18%
20°C
$10 Vol.
20%
21°C
$16 Vol.
19%
22°C
$10 Vol.
11%
23°C
$0 Vol.
9%
24°C or higher
$78 Vol.
12%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecast consensus from global models including GFS and ECMWF points to a high temperature around 20°C in Buenos Aires on April 6, reflecting trader-implied odds clustered at 18–21°C amid a 45–55% uncertainty range for the precise peak. This positioning stems from a recent cold frontal passage after early April warmth—April 1–3 highs exceeded 26°C with thundershowers—now ushering persistent overcast skies and heavy rain on April 4–6, suppressing daytime heating via extensive cloud cover and southerly winds. Compared to the early-April climatological average of 22–23°C, the cooler outlook aligns with Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance on the low-pressure trough; however, model spreads highlight risks of brief clearing lifting to 22°C+ or intensified showers dropping below 18°C. Watch SMN updates and 00Z/12Z model runs for refinements before resolution at official Ezeiza station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 2, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Volume
$520End Date
Apr 6, 2026Market Opened
Apr 2, 2026, 6:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecast consensus from global models including GFS and ECMWF points to a high temperature around 20°C in Buenos Aires on April 6, reflecting trader-implied odds clustered at 18–21°C amid a 45–55% uncertainty range for the precise peak. This positioning stems from a recent cold frontal passage after early April warmth—April 1–3 highs exceeded 26°C with thundershowers—now ushering persistent overcast skies and heavy rain on April 4–6, suppressing daytime heating via extensive cloud cover and southerly winds. Compared to the early-April climatological average of 22–23°C, the cooler outlook aligns with Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance on the low-pressure trough; however, model spreads highlight risks of brief clearing lifting to 22°C+ or intensified showers dropping below 18°C. Watch SMN updates and 00Z/12Z model runs for refinements before resolution at official Ezeiza station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$520End Date
Apr 6, 2026Market Opened
Apr 2, 2026, 6:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast consensus from global models including GFS and ECMWF points to a high temperature around 20°C in Buenos Aires on April 6, reflecting trader-implied odds clustered at 18–21°C amid a 45–55% uncertainty range for the precise peak. This positioning stems from a recent cold frontal passage after early April warmth—April 1–3 highs exceeded 26°C with thundershowers—now ushering persistent overcast skies and heavy rain on April 4–6, suppressing daytime heating via extensive cloud cover and southerly winds. Compared to the early-April climatological average of 22–23°C, the cooler outlook aligns with Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance on the low-pressure trough; however, model spreads highlight risks of brief clearing lifting to 22°C+ or intensified showers dropping below 18°C. Watch SMN updates and 00Z/12Z model runs for refinements before resolution at official Ezeiza station.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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