Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Chongqing's highest temperature on April 1, with implied probabilities clustered around 22–25°C as global models like GFS and ECMWF diverge on peak daytime highs amid the city's basin topography. Recent China Meteorological Administration guidance, updated March 29, projects a 25°C high under clearing skies following cloudy 21–22°C days on March 30–31, aligning with a warming trend after March's below-average 16.3°C readings. Differentiating factors include persistent low clouds or inversions capping warmth versus southerly flow and urban heat island effects boosting peaks; light rain chances add variability. New model runs expected overnight will refine guidance ahead of resolution at official stations like Jiangbei Airport.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Chongqing on April 1?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on April 1?
22°C 33%
23°C 28%
25°C or higher 22%
21°C 18%
NEW
NEW
Apr 1, 2026
15°C or below
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
9%
18°C
10%
19°C
10%
20°C
10%
21°C
12%
22°C
33%
23°C
28%
24°C
18%
25°C or higher
22%
22°C 33%
23°C 28%
25°C or higher 22%
21°C 18%
NEW
NEW
Apr 1, 2026
15°C or below
$230 Vol.
1%
16°C
$302 Vol.
1%
17°C
$70 Vol.
9%
18°C
$0 Vol.
10%
19°C
$15 Vol.
10%
20°C
$0 Vol.
10%
21°C
$6 Vol.
12%
22°C
$0 Vol.
33%
23°C
$4 Vol.
28%
24°C
$4 Vol.
18%
25°C or higher
$56 Vol.
22%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Chongqing's highest temperature on April 1, with implied probabilities clustered around 22–25°C as global models like GFS and ECMWF diverge on peak daytime highs amid the city's basin topography. Recent China Meteorological Administration guidance, updated March 29, projects a 25°C high under clearing skies following cloudy 21–22°C days on March 30–31, aligning with a warming trend after March's below-average 16.3°C readings. Differentiating factors include persistent low clouds or inversions capping warmth versus southerly flow and urban heat island effects boosting peaks; light rain chances add variability. New model runs expected overnight will refine guidance ahead of resolution at official stations like Jiangbei Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 29, 2026, 4:18 PM ET
Volume
$686End Date
Apr 1, 2026Market Opened
Mar 29, 2026, 4:18 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Chongqing's highest temperature on April 1, with implied probabilities clustered around 22–25°C as global models like GFS and ECMWF diverge on peak daytime highs amid the city's basin topography. Recent China Meteorological Administration guidance, updated March 29, projects a 25°C high under clearing skies following cloudy 21–22°C days on March 30–31, aligning with a warming trend after March's below-average 16.3°C readings. Differentiating factors include persistent low clouds or inversions capping warmth versus southerly flow and urban heat island effects boosting peaks; light rain chances add variability. New model runs expected overnight will refine guidance ahead of resolution at official stations like Jiangbei Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$686End Date
Apr 1, 2026Market Opened
Mar 29, 2026, 4:18 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Chongqing's highest temperature on April 1, with implied probabilities clustered around 22–25°C as global models like GFS and ECMWF diverge on peak daytime highs amid the city's basin topography. Recent China Meteorological Administration guidance, updated March 29, projects a 25°C high under clearing skies following cloudy 21–22°C days on March 30–31, aligning with a warming trend after March's below-average 16.3°C readings. Differentiating factors include persistent low clouds or inversions capping warmth versus southerly flow and urban heat island effects boosting peaks; light rain chances add variability. New model runs expected overnight will refine guidance ahead of resolution at official stations like Jiangbei Airport.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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