Current forecast models project Beijing's highest temperature on April 1 at around 18°C under broken clouds, closely aligning with trader consensus favoring 17°C (34.5% implied probability) and 18°C (28%), after late-March highs peaked at 23°C on March 29 amid a persistent high-pressure ridge boosting solar insolation. Differentiating factors include variable cloud cover potentially capping heating at 17°C versus clearer intervals pushing toward 18-19°C, alongside typical early-spring diurnal swings and light winds from prevailing northerlies. Historical early-April averages hover near 17-20°C, but model ensembles like those aggregated by NOAA and CMA show tight uncertainty ranges ahead of daily updates from the China Meteorological Administration. Watch tomorrow's forecast refresh for shifts in cloud trends or frontal passages.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Beijing on April 1?
Highest temperature in Beijing on April 1?
18°C 28%
17°C 28%
16°C 17%
19°C 13%
NEW
NEW
Apr 1, 2026
12°C or below
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
4%
15°C
11%
16°C
17%
17°C
35%
18°C
28%
19°C
13%
20°C
11%
21°C
5%
22°C or higher
5%
18°C 28%
17°C 28%
16°C 17%
19°C 13%
NEW
NEW
Apr 1, 2026
12°C or below
$602 Vol.
1%
13°C
$177 Vol.
1%
14°C
$534 Vol.
4%
15°C
$55 Vol.
11%
16°C
$113 Vol.
17%
17°C
$205 Vol.
35%
18°C
$21 Vol.
28%
19°C
$307 Vol.
13%
20°C
$26 Vol.
11%
21°C
$16 Vol.
5%
22°C or higher
$71 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecast models project Beijing's highest temperature on April 1 at around 18°C under broken clouds, closely aligning with trader consensus favoring 17°C (34.5% implied probability) and 18°C (28%), after late-March highs peaked at 23°C on March 29 amid a persistent high-pressure ridge boosting solar insolation. Differentiating factors include variable cloud cover potentially capping heating at 17°C versus clearer intervals pushing toward 18-19°C, alongside typical early-spring diurnal swings and light winds from prevailing northerlies. Historical early-April averages hover near 17-20°C, but model ensembles like those aggregated by NOAA and CMA show tight uncertainty ranges ahead of daily updates from the China Meteorological Administration. Watch tomorrow's forecast refresh for shifts in cloud trends or frontal passages.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 29, 2026, 2:51 PM ET
Volume
$2,127End Date
Apr 1, 2026Market Opened
Mar 29, 2026, 2:51 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecast models project Beijing's highest temperature on April 1 at around 18°C under broken clouds, closely aligning with trader consensus favoring 17°C (34.5% implied probability) and 18°C (28%), after late-March highs peaked at 23°C on March 29 amid a persistent high-pressure ridge boosting solar insolation. Differentiating factors include variable cloud cover potentially capping heating at 17°C versus clearer intervals pushing toward 18-19°C, alongside typical early-spring diurnal swings and light winds from prevailing northerlies. Historical early-April averages hover near 17-20°C, but model ensembles like those aggregated by NOAA and CMA show tight uncertainty ranges ahead of daily updates from the China Meteorological Administration. Watch tomorrow's forecast refresh for shifts in cloud trends or frontal passages.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$2,127End Date
Apr 1, 2026Market Opened
Mar 29, 2026, 2:51 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models project Beijing's highest temperature on April 1 at around 18°C under broken clouds, closely aligning with trader consensus favoring 17°C (34.5% implied probability) and 18°C (28%), after late-March highs peaked at 23°C on March 29 amid a persistent high-pressure ridge boosting solar insolation. Differentiating factors include variable cloud cover potentially capping heating at 17°C versus clearer intervals pushing toward 18-19°C, alongside typical early-spring diurnal swings and light winds from prevailing northerlies. Historical early-April averages hover near 17-20°C, but model ensembles like those aggregated by NOAA and CMA show tight uncertainty ranges ahead of daily updates from the China Meteorological Administration. Watch tomorrow's forecast refresh for shifts in cloud trends or frontal passages.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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