Florida’s 24th congressional district carries a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+22 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Oliver Gilbert secured the Democratic nomination in the August 18 primary with endorsements from retiring incumbent Frederica Wilson and local party figures, positioning him as the clear frontrunner in the open-seat contest. Republican nominee Te Mayonna Brown advanced unopposed after the GOP primary was canceled, yet faces ongoing wire-fraud charges tied to pandemic-era loans, with a trial scheduled in Illinois. Forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic, and trader consensus at 96.1% for Gilbert aligns with the district’s partisan baseline and limited Republican infrastructure. A late scandal, unusually low turnout, or unexpected national shift could narrow the gap, though such scenarios remain low-probability before the November 3 general election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedFL-24 House Election Winner
FL-24 House Election Winner
$33,222 Vol.
$33,222 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Oliver Gilbert (D)
96%
Te Mayonna Brown (R)
2%
$33,222 Vol.
$33,222 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Oliver Gilbert (D)
$17,503 Vol.
96%
Te Mayonna Brown (R)
$15,719 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida’s 24th congressional district carries a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+22 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Oliver Gilbert secured the Democratic nomination in the August 18 primary with endorsements from retiring incumbent Frederica Wilson and local party figures, positioning him as the clear frontrunner in the open-seat contest. Republican nominee Te Mayonna Brown advanced unopposed after the GOP primary was canceled, yet faces ongoing wire-fraud charges tied to pandemic-era loans, with a trial scheduled in Illinois. Forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic, and trader consensus at 96.1% for Gilbert aligns with the district’s partisan baseline and limited Republican infrastructure. A late scandal, unusually low turnout, or unexpected national shift could narrow the gap, though such scenarios remain low-probability before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
Volume
$33,222End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida’s 24th congressional district carries a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+22 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Oliver Gilbert secured the Democratic nomination in the August 18 primary with endorsements from retiring incumbent Frederica Wilson and local party figures, positioning him as the clear frontrunner in the open-seat contest. Republican nominee Te Mayonna Brown advanced unopposed after the GOP primary was canceled, yet faces ongoing wire-fraud charges tied to pandemic-era loans, with a trial scheduled in Illinois. Forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic, and trader consensus at 96.1% for Gilbert aligns with the district’s partisan baseline and limited Republican infrastructure. A late scandal, unusually low turnout, or unexpected national shift could narrow the gap, though such scenarios remain low-probability before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$33,222End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida’s 24th congressional district carries a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+22 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Oliver Gilbert secured the Democratic nomination in the August 18 primary with endorsements from retiring incumbent Frederica Wilson and local party figures, positioning him as the clear frontrunner in the open-seat contest. Republican nominee Te Mayonna Brown advanced unopposed after the GOP primary was canceled, yet faces ongoing wire-fraud charges tied to pandemic-era loans, with a trial scheduled in Illinois. Forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic, and trader consensus at 96.1% for Gilbert aligns with the district’s partisan baseline and limited Republican infrastructure. A late scandal, unusually low turnout, or unexpected national shift could narrow the gap, though such scenarios remain low-probability before the November 3 general election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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