**Jared Moskowitz leads the FL-25 House race in trader consensus at 66.5% to Scott Singer’s 30.5% because the incumbent Democrat has demonstrated stronger fundraising, primary dominance, and name recognition in the newly redrawn coastal district spanning parts of Miami-Dade, Broward, and Palm Beach counties.** Redistricting shifted the seat from solid Democratic to toss-up status, creating one of the most competitive 2026 House contests. Moskowitz defeated a progressive primary challenger with 63.5% of the vote in August, while Singer emerged from a crowded Republican field with 31.4%. Recent developments include heavy ad spending by both sides, Singer’s public criticism of Moskowitz for declining a televised debate, and Trump’s endorsement of the Republican nominee. Moskowitz’s campaign has emphasized cost-of-living issues and antisemitism concerns in a district with a sizable Jewish population, factors that traders appear to weigh alongside the narrow projected margins in independent forecasts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedFL-25 House Election Winner
FL-25 House Election Winner
$30,127 Vol.
$30,127 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Jared Moskowitz (D)
67%
Scott Singer (R)
32%
$30,127 Vol.
$30,127 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Jared Moskowitz (D)
$10,289 Vol.
67%
Scott Singer (R)
$19,838 Vol.
32%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Jared Moskowitz leads the FL-25 House race in trader consensus at 66.5% to Scott Singer’s 30.5% because the incumbent Democrat has demonstrated stronger fundraising, primary dominance, and name recognition in the newly redrawn coastal district spanning parts of Miami-Dade, Broward, and Palm Beach counties.** Redistricting shifted the seat from solid Democratic to toss-up status, creating one of the most competitive 2026 House contests. Moskowitz defeated a progressive primary challenger with 63.5% of the vote in August, while Singer emerged from a crowded Republican field with 31.4%. Recent developments include heavy ad spending by both sides, Singer’s public criticism of Moskowitz for declining a televised debate, and Trump’s endorsement of the Republican nominee. Moskowitz’s campaign has emphasized cost-of-living issues and antisemitism concerns in a district with a sizable Jewish population, factors that traders appear to weigh alongside the narrow projected margins in independent forecasts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
Volume
$30,127End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Jared Moskowitz leads the FL-25 House race in trader consensus at 66.5% to Scott Singer’s 30.5% because the incumbent Democrat has demonstrated stronger fundraising, primary dominance, and name recognition in the newly redrawn coastal district spanning parts of Miami-Dade, Broward, and Palm Beach counties.** Redistricting shifted the seat from solid Democratic to toss-up status, creating one of the most competitive 2026 House contests. Moskowitz defeated a progressive primary challenger with 63.5% of the vote in August, while Singer emerged from a crowded Republican field with 31.4%. Recent developments include heavy ad spending by both sides, Singer’s public criticism of Moskowitz for declining a televised debate, and Trump’s endorsement of the Republican nominee. Moskowitz’s campaign has emphasized cost-of-living issues and antisemitism concerns in a district with a sizable Jewish population, factors that traders appear to weigh alongside the narrow projected margins in independent forecasts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$30,127End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...**Jared Moskowitz leads the FL-25 House race in trader consensus at 66.5% to Scott Singer’s 30.5% because the incumbent Democrat has demonstrated stronger fundraising, primary dominance, and name recognition in the newly redrawn coastal district spanning parts of Miami-Dade, Broward, and Palm Beach counties.** Redistricting shifted the seat from solid Democratic to toss-up status, creating one of the most competitive 2026 House contests. Moskowitz defeated a progressive primary challenger with 63.5% of the vote in August, while Singer emerged from a crowded Republican field with 31.4%. Recent developments include heavy ad spending by both sides, Singer’s public criticism of Moskowitz for declining a televised debate, and Trump’s endorsement of the Republican nominee. Moskowitz’s campaign has emphasized cost-of-living issues and antisemitism concerns in a district with a sizable Jewish population, factors that traders appear to weigh alongside the narrow projected margins in independent forecasts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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