Jared Moskowitz, the Democratic incumbent who shifted from Florida’s 23rd to the redrawn 25th district following the legislature’s April–May 2026 map overhaul, anchors the 63.5% Democratic price. The new boundaries, signed by Governor DeSantis and upheld by court order in late May, blend Broward, Palm Beach, and Miami-Dade precincts that produced a narrower Republican tilt in 2024 voting data yet remain demographically competitive for Democrats. Moskowitz’s early fundraising advantage and name recognition have reinforced trader expectations of a Democratic hold, while the Republican primary field—featuring Dan Franzese, George Moraitis, Scott Singer, and Claudia Villatoro—remains unsettled ahead of the August 18 contest. Cook Political Report rates the seat highly competitive, consistent with the 36% Republican share reflecting a plausible but uphill path in the November 3 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$18,207 Vol.
$18,207 Vol.
民主党
62%
共和党
36%
$18,207 Vol.
$18,207 Vol.
民主党
62%
共和党
36%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日: Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Jared Moskowitz, the Democratic incumbent who shifted from Florida’s 23rd to the redrawn 25th district following the legislature’s April–May 2026 map overhaul, anchors the 63.5% Democratic price. The new boundaries, signed by Governor DeSantis and upheld by court order in late May, blend Broward, Palm Beach, and Miami-Dade precincts that produced a narrower Republican tilt in 2024 voting data yet remain demographically competitive for Democrats. Moskowitz’s early fundraising advantage and name recognition have reinforced trader expectations of a Democratic hold, while the Republican primary field—featuring Dan Franzese, George Moraitis, Scott Singer, and Claudia Villatoro—remains unsettled ahead of the August 18 contest. Cook Political Report rates the seat highly competitive, consistent with the 36% Republican share reflecting a plausible but uphill path in the November 3 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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