Incumbent Democrat Jared Moskowitz holds a clear edge in trader consensus for Florida’s newly redrawn 25th District, reflecting his strong primary performance, substantial fundraising lead, and positioning as a centrist willing to cross party lines. The coastal district stretching from Miami Beach to Delray Beach was adjusted earlier this year, shifting it toward toss-up status according to Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Republican nominee Scott Singer, the former Boca Raton mayor who won his August primary, benefits from Trump’s endorsement and local name recognition but trails in early cash reserves and faces criticism over debate scheduling. Recent developments include Moskowitz’s selection as ranking Democrat on the House Foreign Affairs Middle East subcommittee in late August, heavy ad spending by both sides in September, and ongoing questions about voter priorities on affordability and foreign policy in a district with a significant Jewish population.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedFL-25 House Election Winner
$30,464 Vol.
$30,464 Vol.
Jared Moskowitz (D)
69%
Scott Singer (R)
32%
$30,464 Vol.
$30,464 Vol.
Jared Moskowitz (D)
69%
Scott Singer (R)
32%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
Resolver
0x2f5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2f5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Jared Moskowitz holds a clear edge in trader consensus for Florida’s newly redrawn 25th District, reflecting his strong primary performance, substantial fundraising lead, and positioning as a centrist willing to cross party lines. The coastal district stretching from Miami Beach to Delray Beach was adjusted earlier this year, shifting it toward toss-up status according to Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Republican nominee Scott Singer, the former Boca Raton mayor who won his August primary, benefits from Trump’s endorsement and local name recognition but trails in early cash reserves and faces criticism over debate scheduling. Recent developments include Moskowitz’s selection as ranking Democrat on the House Foreign Affairs Middle East subcommittee in late August, heavy ad spending by both sides in September, and ongoing questions about voter priorities on affordability and foreign policy in a district with a significant Jewish population.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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