The district's Democratic lean following Florida's May 2026 redistricting under Governor DeSantis has positioned Democratic candidates as frontrunners in trader consensus for the November general election. Recent candidate announcements, including Jared Moskowitz shifting to the new FL-25 and Oliver Larkin entering the Democratic primary, combined with early polling showing Democratic leads in head-to-head matchups against Republicans, have reinforced this edge. The race remains rated a toss-up by Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball due to its competitive partisan voting index and the August 18 primaries still ahead, though the overall environment favors Democrats in this coastal district stretching from Delray Beach to Miami Beach.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$18,159 Vol.
$18,159 Vol.
民主党
66%
共和党
35%
$18,159 Vol.
$18,159 Vol.
民主党
66%
共和党
35%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日: Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The district's Democratic lean following Florida's May 2026 redistricting under Governor DeSantis has positioned Democratic candidates as frontrunners in trader consensus for the November general election. Recent candidate announcements, including Jared Moskowitz shifting to the new FL-25 and Oliver Larkin entering the Democratic primary, combined with early polling showing Democratic leads in head-to-head matchups against Republicans, have reinforced this edge. The race remains rated a toss-up by Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball due to its competitive partisan voting index and the August 18 primaries still ahead, though the overall environment favors Democrats in this coastal district stretching from Delray Beach to Miami Beach.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問