Jared Moskowitz holds a clear edge in the FL-25 House race according to trader consensus, driven primarily by his incumbency advantage, strong fundraising totals exceeding $3 million, and decisive primary victory over a progressive challenger in the newly redrawn coastal district stretching from Delray Beach to Miami Beach. Redistricting shifted the seat toward a toss-up rating with a modest Republican lean, prompting Scott Singer’s narrow primary win as the GOP nominee and external support including a Trump endorsement. Recent developments include escalating television ad spending by both sides and outside groups, Singer’s public criticism of Moskowitz for declining a scheduled debate on ethics and policy issues, and Moskowitz’s selection for a key House Foreign Affairs subcommittee role that highlights his profile among the district’s sizable Jewish voter bloc. These factors, combined with limited recent polling, underpin the current implied probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedFL-25 House Election Winner
FL-25 House Election Winner
$30,127 Vol.
$30,127 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Jared Moskowitz (D)
67%
Scott Singer (R)
32%
$30,127 Vol.
$30,127 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Jared Moskowitz (D)
$10,289 Vol.
67%
Scott Singer (R)
$19,838 Vol.
32%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Jared Moskowitz holds a clear edge in the FL-25 House race according to trader consensus, driven primarily by his incumbency advantage, strong fundraising totals exceeding $3 million, and decisive primary victory over a progressive challenger in the newly redrawn coastal district stretching from Delray Beach to Miami Beach. Redistricting shifted the seat toward a toss-up rating with a modest Republican lean, prompting Scott Singer’s narrow primary win as the GOP nominee and external support including a Trump endorsement. Recent developments include escalating television ad spending by both sides and outside groups, Singer’s public criticism of Moskowitz for declining a scheduled debate on ethics and policy issues, and Moskowitz’s selection for a key House Foreign Affairs subcommittee role that highlights his profile among the district’s sizable Jewish voter bloc. These factors, combined with limited recent polling, underpin the current implied probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
Volume
$30,127End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Jared Moskowitz holds a clear edge in the FL-25 House race according to trader consensus, driven primarily by his incumbency advantage, strong fundraising totals exceeding $3 million, and decisive primary victory over a progressive challenger in the newly redrawn coastal district stretching from Delray Beach to Miami Beach. Redistricting shifted the seat toward a toss-up rating with a modest Republican lean, prompting Scott Singer’s narrow primary win as the GOP nominee and external support including a Trump endorsement. Recent developments include escalating television ad spending by both sides and outside groups, Singer’s public criticism of Moskowitz for declining a scheduled debate on ethics and policy issues, and Moskowitz’s selection for a key House Foreign Affairs subcommittee role that highlights his profile among the district’s sizable Jewish voter bloc. These factors, combined with limited recent polling, underpin the current implied probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$30,127End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Jared Moskowitz holds a clear edge in the FL-25 House race according to trader consensus, driven primarily by his incumbency advantage, strong fundraising totals exceeding $3 million, and decisive primary victory over a progressive challenger in the newly redrawn coastal district stretching from Delray Beach to Miami Beach. Redistricting shifted the seat toward a toss-up rating with a modest Republican lean, prompting Scott Singer’s narrow primary win as the GOP nominee and external support including a Trump endorsement. Recent developments include escalating television ad spending by both sides and outside groups, Singer’s public criticism of Moskowitz for declining a scheduled debate on ethics and policy issues, and Moskowitz’s selection for a key House Foreign Affairs subcommittee role that highlights his profile among the district’s sizable Jewish voter bloc. These factors, combined with limited recent polling, underpin the current implied probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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