Trader sentiment on Polymarket heavily favors Elon Musk's Bloomberg Billionaires Index net worth falling below $640 billion on March 31, with a 62% implied probability, reflecting recent Tesla (TSLA) share price weakness amid a broader tech sector selloff that erased billions from billionaire fortunes. TSLA closed at $361.83 on March 27 after declining over 10% in the past week from highs near $407, pressured by market correction territory and lingering concerns from a March 21 jury verdict finding Musk misled investors during the Twitter acquisition. SpaceX's $800 billion secondary valuation and prior xAI merger provide stability, but traders anticipate end-of-day March 30 trading to cement the sub-$640 billion outcome, with 25.5% odds for 640-650 billion on potential stabilization.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated<640b 56%
640-650b 19%
670-680b 5.5%
650-660b 4.0%
$1,117,145 Vol.
$1,117,145 Vol.
<640b
56%
640-650b
25%
650-660b
4%
660-670b
1%
670-680b
5%
680-690b
3%
690-700b
<1%
700-710b
3%
710b+
1%
<640b 56%
640-650b 19%
670-680b 5.5%
650-660b 4.0%
$1,117,145 Vol.
$1,117,145 Vol.
<640b
56%
640-650b
25%
650-660b
4%
660-670b
1%
670-680b
5%
680-690b
3%
690-700b
<1%
700-710b
3%
710b+
1%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk Profile (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/?embedded-checkout=true), specifically the datapoint for March 31, 2026, once the data is finalized. If this resolution source is not available, another credible resolution source will be used.
Market Opened: Feb 25, 2026, 7:25 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk Profile (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/?embedded-checkout=true), specifically the datapoint for March 31, 2026, once the data is finalized. If this resolution source is not available, another credible resolution source will be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment on Polymarket heavily favors Elon Musk's Bloomberg Billionaires Index net worth falling below $640 billion on March 31, with a 62% implied probability, reflecting recent Tesla (TSLA) share price weakness amid a broader tech sector selloff that erased billions from billionaire fortunes. TSLA closed at $361.83 on March 27 after declining over 10% in the past week from highs near $407, pressured by market correction territory and lingering concerns from a March 21 jury verdict finding Musk misled investors during the Twitter acquisition. SpaceX's $800 billion secondary valuation and prior xAI merger provide stability, but traders anticipate end-of-day March 30 trading to cement the sub-$640 billion outcome, with 25.5% odds for 640-650 billion on potential stabilization.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated



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