President Trump's sustained Truth Social posting pace, averaging around 14 posts daily through March 29 amid escalating Iran tensions—including March 29 announcements of major military targets destroyed and earlier March 25 criticisms of Democrats for downplaying victories—drives trader consensus toward 100-119 total posts by March 31, at 65.5% implied probability. With seven days completed and partial March 30 activity, the market projects modest additional volume from ongoing executive communications on domestic issues like filibuster reform via the Save America Act, ICE operations, and referrals against NY AG Letitia James. Secondary outcomes like 120-139 (18.5%) and 80-99 (10.5%) reflect uncertainty around any late-period surge or slowdown before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated100-119 66%
120-139 18%
80-99 11%
140-159 1.8%
$455,261 Vol.
$455,261 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
40-59
<1%
60-79
1%
80-99
11%
100-119
66%
120-139
18%
140-159
2%
160-179
1%
180-199
<1%
200+
<1%
100-119 66%
120-139 18%
80-99 11%
140-159 1.8%
$455,261 Vol.
$455,261 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
40-59
$61,422 Vol.
<1%
60-79
$189,438 Vol.
1%
80-99
$51,488 Vol.
11%
100-119
$35,506 Vol.
66%
120-139
$25,547 Vol.
18%
140-159
$22,216 Vol.
2%
160-179
$18,487 Vol.
1%
180-199
$15,734 Vol.
<1%
200+
$37,223 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between March 24, 12:00 PM ET and March 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.President Trump's sustained Truth Social posting pace, averaging around 14 posts daily through March 29 amid escalating Iran tensions—including March 29 announcements of major military targets destroyed and earlier March 25 criticisms of Democrats for downplaying victories—drives trader consensus toward 100-119 total posts by March 31, at 65.5% implied probability. With seven days completed and partial March 30 activity, the market projects modest additional volume from ongoing executive communications on domestic issues like filibuster reform via the Save America Act, ICE operations, and referrals against NY AG Letitia James. Secondary outcomes like 120-139 (18.5%) and 80-99 (10.5%) reflect uncertainty around any late-period surge or slowdown before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between March 24, 12:00 PM ET and March 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Mar 21, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Volume
$455,261End Date
Mar 31, 2026Market Opened
Mar 21, 2026, 12:01 AM ETResolution Source
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between March 24, 12:00 PM ET and March 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.President Trump's sustained Truth Social posting pace, averaging around 14 posts daily through March 29 amid escalating Iran tensions—including March 29 announcements of major military targets destroyed and earlier March 25 criticisms of Democrats for downplaying victories—drives trader consensus toward 100-119 total posts by March 31, at 65.5% implied probability. With seven days completed and partial March 30 activity, the market projects modest additional volume from ongoing executive communications on domestic issues like filibuster reform via the Save America Act, ICE operations, and referrals against NY AG Letitia James. Secondary outcomes like 120-139 (18.5%) and 80-99 (10.5%) reflect uncertainty around any late-period surge or slowdown before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between March 24, 12:00 PM ET and March 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$455,261End Date
Mar 31, 2026Market Opened
Mar 21, 2026, 12:01 AM ETResolution Source
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...President Trump's sustained Truth Social posting pace, averaging around 14 posts daily through March 29 amid escalating Iran tensions—including March 29 announcements of major military targets destroyed and earlier March 25 criticisms of Democrats for downplaying victories—drives trader consensus toward 100-119 total posts by March 31, at 65.5% implied probability. With seven days completed and partial March 30 activity, the market projects modest additional volume from ongoing executive communications on domestic issues like filibuster reform via the Save America Act, ICE operations, and referrals against NY AG Letitia James. Secondary outcomes like 120-139 (18.5%) and 80-99 (10.5%) reflect uncertainty around any late-period surge or slowdown before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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