Market icon

China GDP growth in Q4 2025?

$5,686 Vol.

4.5-5.0% 82%

4.0-4.5% 14%

>5.0% 6%

3.5-4.0% <1%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Rules

This market will resolve according to China's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the "Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP" release for Q4 of 2025, scheduled for some time in January, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/

If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.

Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$5,686
End Date
Jan 31, 2026
Created At
Dec 9, 2025, 7:56 PM UTC
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Beware of external links.

$5,686 Vol.

Market icon

China GDP growth in Q4 2025?

4.5-5.0% 82%

4.0-4.5% 14%

>5.0% 6%

3.5-4.0% <1%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

<2.5%

$401 Vol.

<1%

2.5-3.0%

$321 Vol.

<1%

3.0-3.5%

$262 Vol.

<1%

3.5-4.0%

$267 Vol.

<1%

4.0-4.5%

$2,206 Vol.

14%

4.5-5.0%

$739 Vol.

82%

>5.0%

$1,490 Vol.

6%

About

Volume
$5,686
End Date
Jan 31, 2026
Created At
Dec 9, 2025, 7:56 PM UTC
shield

Beware of external links.