Bank of Canada decision in March?
NEW
No change 49%
25 bps decrease 20%
Increase 13%
50+ bps decrease 8%
OUTCOME
% CHANCE
50+ bps decrease
$59 Vol.
8%
50+ bps decrease
$59 Vol.
8%
25 bps decrease
$4,860 Vol.
20%
25 bps decrease
$4,860 Vol.
20%
No change
$55 Vol.
49%
No change
$55 Vol.
49%
Increase
$0 Vol.
13%
Increase
$0 Vol.
13%
Rules
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the target for the overnight rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Canada's March 2026 meeting.
If the target for the overnight rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the deposit facility rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Canada after its March 18, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar: https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Canada's statement for their March meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
If the target for the overnight rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the deposit facility rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Canada after its March 18, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar: https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Canada's statement for their March meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Created At: Dec 23, 2025, 10:42 PM UTC
Volume
$4,974End Date
Mar 18, 2026Created At
Dec 23, 2025, 10:42 PM UTCResolver
0x2F5e3684c...NEW
Bank of Canada decision in March?
No change 49%
25 bps decrease 20%
Increase 13%
50+ bps decrease 8%
OUTCOME
% CHANCE
50+ bps decrease
$59 Vol.
8%
25 bps decrease
$4,860 Vol.
20%
No change
$55 Vol.
49%
Increase
$0 Vol.
13%
About
Volume
$4,974End Date
Mar 18, 2026Created At
Dec 23, 2025, 10:42 PM UTCResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Beware of external links.
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Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.