Market icon
Finance·Business

2nd largest company end of April?

Market icon
Finance·Business

2nd largest company end of April?

Apr 30

Apr 30

Apple 73%

Alphabet 24%

NVIDIA 3.0%

Microsoft <1%

Polymarket

$1,026,114 Vol.

Apple 73%

Alphabet 24%

NVIDIA 3.0%

Microsoft <1%

Polymarket

$1,026,114 Vol.

Market icon

Apple

$40,604 Vol.

73%

Market icon

Alphabet

$37,122 Vol.

24%

Market icon

NVIDIA

$676,556 Vol.

3%

Market icon

Microsoft

$155,242 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Amazon

$43,523 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Tesla

$43,042 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Saudi Aramco

$30,025 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 72.5% implied probability for Apple to hold second-largest market capitalization by April 30, 2026, reflecting its current $3.70 trillion valuation—$170 billion ahead of Alphabet's $3.53 trillion—behind NVIDIA's dominant $4.22 trillion lead. Alphabet's 23.5% odds stem from its earlier 2026 surge past Apple in January, fueled by AI momentum, but recent 9% share tumble last week on $185 billion capital expenditure guidance for AI infrastructure and emerging search rivals has widened the gap, tempering near-term overtake expectations. NVIDIA's slim 3% for second place accounts for potential volatility in chip demand, while others trail far behind; no major earnings or events loom before resolution to shift dynamics significantly.

This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30, 2026, as of market close.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$1,026,114
End Date
Apr 30, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 20, 2026, 6:29 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 72.5% implied probability for Apple to hold second-largest market capitalization by April 30, 2026, reflecting its current $3.70 trillion valuation—$170 billion ahead of Alphabet's $3.53 trillion—behind NVIDIA's dominant $4.22 trillion lead. Alphabet's 23.5% odds stem from its earlier 2026 surge past Apple in January, fueled by AI momentum, but recent 9% share tumble last week on $185 billion capital expenditure guidance for AI infrastructure and emerging search rivals has widened the gap, tempering near-term overtake expectations. NVIDIA's slim 3% for second place accounts for potential volatility in chip demand, while others trail far behind; no major earnings or events loom before resolution to shift dynamics significantly.

This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30, 2026, as of market close.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$1,026,114
End Date
Apr 30, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 20, 2026, 6:29 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"2nd largest company end of April?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Apple" at 73%, followed by "Alphabet" at 24%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 73¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 73% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2nd largest company end of April?" has generated $1 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 20, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2nd largest company end of April?," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2nd largest company end of April?" is "Apple" at 73%, meaning the market assigns a 73% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Alphabet" at 24%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2nd largest company end of April?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.