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#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 13?

Market icon

#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 13?

Mar 13

Mar 13

ChatGPT 86%

Claude by Anthropic 11%

Google Gemini 1.5%

Temu: Shop Like a Billionaire 1.5%

Polymarket
NEW

ChatGPT 86%

Claude by Anthropic 11%

Google Gemini 1.5%

Temu: Shop Like a Billionaire 1.5%

Polymarket
NEW
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ChatGPT

$520 Vol.

86%

Market icon

Claude by Anthropic

$315 Vol.

11%

Market icon

Google Gemini

$183 Vol.

2%

Market icon

Temu: Shop Like a Billionaire

$183 Vol.

2%

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Threads

$183 Vol.

1%

Market icon

MyTSA

$199 Vol.

1%

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CapCut: Photo & Video Editor

$198 Vol.

1%

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Google

$246 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date.

To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
Volume
$2,027
End Date
Mar 13, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 10, 2026, 6:09 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 13?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "ChatGPT" at 86%, followed by "Claude by Anthropic" at 11%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 86¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 86% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 13?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Mar 10, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 13?," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 13?" is "ChatGPT" at 86%, meaning the market assigns a 86% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Claude by Anthropic" at 11%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 13?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.