Trader consensus reflects near-certainty that Venezuela will not achieve U.S. statehood by December 31, 2026, driven by formidable constitutional barriers: admission requires a majority vote in both houses of Congress, presidential approval, and a referendum by Venezuela's population demonstrating overwhelming support. President Trump's March 17 quip suggesting "statehood, #51" after Venezuela's World Baseball Classic semifinal victory over Italy—amid post-Maduro diplomatic normalization following U.S. intervention and his January capture—briefly spiked Yes shares to around 5%, but lacks any legislative momentum or official proposals. Realistic shifts would demand unprecedented geopolitical upheaval, such as a Venezuelan sovereignty transfer or fast-tracked congressional action, both highly improbable within the timeline.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado¿Venezuela se convertirá en el estado 51?
¿Venezuela se convertirá en el estado 51?
Sí
$124,411 Vol.
$124,411 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sí
$124,411 Vol.
$124,411 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" any portion of Venezuela is formally annexed into the United States of America and becomes the 51st state between January 3, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official agreement that is announced will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when it is slated to go into effect. If any territory that includes no portion of Venezuelan land is made the 51st US state within this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus reflects near-certainty that Venezuela will not achieve U.S. statehood by December 31, 2026, driven by formidable constitutional barriers: admission requires a majority vote in both houses of Congress, presidential approval, and a referendum by Venezuela's population demonstrating overwhelming support. President Trump's March 17 quip suggesting "statehood, #51" after Venezuela's World Baseball Classic semifinal victory over Italy—amid post-Maduro diplomatic normalization following U.S. intervention and his January capture—briefly spiked Yes shares to around 5%, but lacks any legislative momentum or official proposals. Realistic shifts would demand unprecedented geopolitical upheaval, such as a Venezuelan sovereignty transfer or fast-tracked congressional action, both highly improbable within the timeline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" any portion of Venezuela is formally annexed into the United States of America and becomes the 51st state between January 3, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official agreement that is announced will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when it is slated to go into effect. If any territory that includes no portion of Venezuelan land is made the 51st US state within this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
An official agreement that is announced will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when it is slated to go into effect. If any territory that includes no portion of Venezuelan land is made the 51st US state within this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercado abierto: Jan 3, 2026, 7:18 PM ET
Volumen
$124,411Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 3, 2026, 7:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" any portion of Venezuela is formally annexed into the United States of America and becomes the 51st state between January 3, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official agreement that is announced will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when it is slated to go into effect. If any territory that includes no portion of Venezuelan land is made the 51st US state within this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus reflects near-certainty that Venezuela will not achieve U.S. statehood by December 31, 2026, driven by formidable constitutional barriers: admission requires a majority vote in both houses of Congress, presidential approval, and a referendum by Venezuela's population demonstrating overwhelming support. President Trump's March 17 quip suggesting "statehood, #51" after Venezuela's World Baseball Classic semifinal victory over Italy—amid post-Maduro diplomatic normalization following U.S. intervention and his January capture—briefly spiked Yes shares to around 5%, but lacks any legislative momentum or official proposals. Realistic shifts would demand unprecedented geopolitical upheaval, such as a Venezuelan sovereignty transfer or fast-tracked congressional action, both highly improbable within the timeline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" any portion of Venezuela is formally annexed into the United States of America and becomes the 51st state between January 3, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official agreement that is announced will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when it is slated to go into effect. If any territory that includes no portion of Venezuelan land is made the 51st US state within this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
An official agreement that is announced will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when it is slated to go into effect. If any territory that includes no portion of Venezuelan land is made the 51st US state within this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$124,411Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 3, 2026, 7:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus reflects near-certainty that Venezuela will not achieve U.S. statehood by December 31, 2026, driven by formidable constitutional barriers: admission requires a majority vote in both houses of Congress, presidential approval, and a referendum by Venezuela's population demonstrating overwhelming support. President Trump's March 17 quip suggesting "statehood, #51" after Venezuela's World Baseball Classic semifinal victory over Italy—amid post-Maduro diplomatic normalization following U.S. intervention and his January capture—briefly spiked Yes shares to around 5%, but lacks any legislative momentum or official proposals. Realistic shifts would demand unprecedented geopolitical upheaval, such as a Venezuelan sovereignty transfer or fast-tracked congressional action, both highly improbable within the timeline.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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