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Política·Primarias

¿Quién avanzará de las primarias del Gobernador de California?

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Política·Primarias

¿Quién avanzará de las primarias del Gobernador de California?

$274,145 Vol.

Jun 2, 2026
Polymarket

$274,145 Vol.

Polymarket

Elaine Culotti

$0 Vol.

90%

Eric Swalwell

$10,778 Vol.

64%

Steve Hilton

$4,005 Vol.

64%

Chad Bianco

$0 Vol.

36%

Tom Steyer

$17,265 Vol.

27%

Matt Mahan

$9,373 Vol.

22%

Katie Porter

$0 Vol.

18%

Xavier Becerra

$0 Vol.

9%

Betty Yee

$0 Vol.

6%

Ché Ahn

$14,574 Vol.

5%

Ethan Agarwal

$2,365 Vol.

5%

Tony Thurmond

$0 Vol.

5%

Sharifah Hardie

$0 Vol.

4%

Jimmy Parker

$0 Vol.

4%

Antonio Villaraigosa

$11,446 Vol.

3%

Dylan Colbert

$11,135 Vol.

3%

Ryan Tillman

$767 Vol.

3%

Daniel Mercuri

$8,309 Vol.

3%

Derek Grasty

$1,039 Vol.

3%

Nicki Minaj

$0 Vol.

3%

Leo Zacky

$0 Vol.

2%

David Serpa

$0 Vol.

2%

Javen Allen

$0 Vol.

12%

Leonard Jackson

$0 Vol.

2%

Raji Rab

$0 Vol.

2%

Carolina Buhler

$0 Vol.

2%

Nicholas Thompson

$0 Vol.

2%

Kyle Langford

$0 Vol.

2%

Brandon Jones

$33,393 Vol.

2%

Butch Ware

$0 Vol.

2%

Thunder Parley

$0 Vol.

1%

Ramsey Robinson

$0 Vol.

1%

Zoltan Istvan

$8,912 Vol.

1%

Ian Calderón

$103,033 Vol.

1%

David Thelen

$0 Vol.

1%

Sophia Brink

$37,751 Vol.

1%

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.California's 2026 gubernatorial race features an open seat after term limits bar Gov. Gavin Newsom from seeking a third term, with the top-two primary set for March 3, 2026, under the state's nonpartisan system where the leading two candidates advance regardless of party. Recent hypothetical polls, such as a September SurveyUSA survey, show Vice President Kamala Harris leading at 22% despite her repeated disavowals of interest, followed by Rep. Katie Porter at 12% and Supt. Tony Thurmond at 9%; declared Democratic candidates include Lt. Gov. Eleni Kounalakis and Controller Betty Yee. No major announcements or shifts occurred in the past 30 days, leaving traders focused on potential 2025 entry by national figures amid early polling volatility and fundraising signals. Key watch: candidate filing deadlines and initial campaign finance reports next year.

California's 2026 gubernatorial race features an open seat after term limits bar Gov. Gavin Newsom from seeking a third term, with the top-two primary set for March 3, 2026, under the state's nonpartisan system where the leading two candidates advance regardless of party. Recent hypothetical polls, such as a September SurveyUSA survey, show Vice President Kamala Harris leading at 22% despite her repeated disavowals of interest, followed by Rep. Katie Porter at 12% and Supt. Tony Thurmond at 9%; declared Democratic candidates include Lt. Gov. Eleni Kounalakis and Controller Betty Yee. No major announcements or shifts occurred in the past 30 days, leaving traders focused on potential 2025 entry by national figures amid early polling volatility and fundraising signals. Key watch: candidate filing deadlines and initial campaign finance reports next year.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.California's 2026 gubernatorial race features an open seat after term limits bar Gov. Gavin Newsom from seeking a third term, with the top-two primary set for March 3, 2026, under the state's nonpartisan system where the leading two candidates advance regardless of party. Recent hypothetical polls, such as a September SurveyUSA survey, show Vice President Kamala Harris leading at 22% despite her repeated disavowals of interest, followed by Rep. Katie Porter at 12% and Supt. Tony Thurmond at 9%; declared Democratic candidates include Lt. Gov. Eleni Kounalakis and Controller Betty Yee. No major announcements or shifts occurred in the past 30 days, leaving traders focused on potential 2025 entry by national figures amid early polling volatility and fundraising signals. Key watch: candidate filing deadlines and initial campaign finance reports next year.

California's 2026 gubernatorial race features an open seat after term limits bar Gov. Gavin Newsom from seeking a third term, with the top-two primary set for March 3, 2026, under the state's nonpartisan system where the leading two candidates advance regardless of party. Recent hypothetical polls, such as a September SurveyUSA survey, show Vice President Kamala Harris leading at 22% despite her repeated disavowals of interest, followed by Rep. Katie Porter at 12% and Supt. Tony Thurmond at 9%; declared Democratic candidates include Lt. Gov. Eleni Kounalakis and Controller Betty Yee. No major announcements or shifts occurred in the past 30 days, leaving traders focused on potential 2025 entry by national figures amid early polling volatility and fundraising signals. Key watch: candidate filing deadlines and initial campaign finance reports next year.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Quién avanzará de las primarias del Gobernador de California?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 36 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Eric Swalwell" con 64%, seguido de "Steve Hilton" con 64%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 64¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 64% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Quién avanzará de las primarias del Gobernador de California?" ha generado $274.1K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Dec 4, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Quién avanzará de las primarias del Gobernador de California?", explora los 36 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Quién avanzará de las primarias del Gobernador de California?" es "Eric Swalwell" con 64%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 64% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Steve Hilton" con 64%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Quién avanzará de las primarias del Gobernador de California?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.