Trader consensus heavily favors no Zelenskyy-Putin meeting before 2027 (76.5%), reflecting stalled US-mediated peace talks amid Russia's spring offensive and distractions from the Iran conflict, which prompted a "situational pause" per Kremlin statements as of late March 2026. Despite Zelenskyy's late January readiness for direct talks on territorial disputes and Zaporizhzhia nuclear plant issues—instructing preparations for a potential Geneva summit—and Russia's counter-invitation to Moscow with security guarantees, official-level negotiations in Abu Dhabi and Geneva (February) yielded no leaders' summit, described as "difficult" with low expectations. Turkey leads alternatives (2.8%) due to Erdogan's historical mediation role, while US (2.1%), Qatar/UAE (2.1%), and Hungary (2.1%) reflect recent trilateral venues and Orban's pro-Russia diplomacy; resumption hinges on de-escalation signals or new diplomatic breakthroughs.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoNo habrá reunión antes de 2027 77%
Turquía 2.8%
EE. UU. 2.1%
Hungría 2.1%
$1,612,855 Vol.
$1,612,855 Vol.

No habrá reunión antes de 2027
77%

Turquía
3%

EE. UU.
2%

Hungría
2%

Qatar / EAU
2%

Arabia Saudita
2%

Rusia
2%

Suiza
1%

Bielorrusia
1%

China
1%

Italia / Vaticano
1%

Ucrania
1%

Título del ítem del grupo: India
1%

Kazajistán
1%
No habrá reunión antes de 2027 77%
Turquía 2.8%
EE. UU. 2.1%
Hungría 2.1%
$1,612,855 Vol.
$1,612,855 Vol.

No habrá reunión antes de 2027
77%

Turquía
3%

EE. UU.
2%

Hungría
2%

Qatar / EAU
2%

Arabia Saudita
2%

Rusia
2%

Suiza
1%

Bielorrusia
1%

China
1%

Italia / Vaticano
1%

Ucrania
1%

Título del ítem del grupo: India
1%

Kazajistán
1%
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Zelenskyy and Putin are both present and interact with each other in person.
For the purpose of this market, a meeting held on Ukrainian territory under the de facto control of Russia (e.g., Crimea) will be considered part of Russia.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Nov 6, 2025, 10:49 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A meeting is defined as any encounter where Zelenskyy and Putin are both present and interact with each other in person.
For the purpose of this market, a meeting held on Ukrainian territory under the de facto control of Russia (e.g., Crimea) will be considered part of Russia.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors no Zelenskyy-Putin meeting before 2027 (76.5%), reflecting stalled US-mediated peace talks amid Russia's spring offensive and distractions from the Iran conflict, which prompted a "situational pause" per Kremlin statements as of late March 2026. Despite Zelenskyy's late January readiness for direct talks on territorial disputes and Zaporizhzhia nuclear plant issues—instructing preparations for a potential Geneva summit—and Russia's counter-invitation to Moscow with security guarantees, official-level negotiations in Abu Dhabi and Geneva (February) yielded no leaders' summit, described as "difficult" with low expectations. Turkey leads alternatives (2.8%) due to Erdogan's historical mediation role, while US (2.1%), Qatar/UAE (2.1%), and Hungary (2.1%) reflect recent trilateral venues and Orban's pro-Russia diplomacy; resumption hinges on de-escalation signals or new diplomatic breakthroughs.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes