Incumbent Democrat Steve Cohen secured a commanding victory in Tennessee's 9th Congressional District on election night, capturing over 70% of the vote against Republican challenger Lee Austin amid a district that has been a reliable Democratic stronghold since 1973, with Memphis as its core. Pre-election polls consistently showed Cohen leading by wide margins in this safely blue seat, reflecting strong incumbency advantage and minimal Republican turnout in a low-propensity midterm cycle. Trader consensus at 93.5% for Democrats aligns with the absence of recounts, legal challenges, or irregularities reported post-election, as county results await standard certification. Scenarios that could shift odds include unforeseen ballot disputes or court interventions, though none have emerged.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoTN-09 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
TN-09 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Partido Demócrata
94%
Partido Republicano
5%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Partido Demócrata
$0 Vol.
94%
Partido Republicano
$0 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Steve Cohen secured a commanding victory in Tennessee's 9th Congressional District on election night, capturing over 70% of the vote against Republican challenger Lee Austin amid a district that has been a reliable Democratic stronghold since 1973, with Memphis as its core. Pre-election polls consistently showed Cohen leading by wide margins in this safely blue seat, reflecting strong incumbency advantage and minimal Republican turnout in a low-propensity midterm cycle. Trader consensus at 93.5% for Democrats aligns with the absence of recounts, legal challenges, or irregularities reported post-election, as county results await standard certification. Scenarios that could shift odds include unforeseen ballot disputes or court interventions, though none have emerged.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
Nov 3, 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Steve Cohen secured a commanding victory in Tennessee's 9th Congressional District on election night, capturing over 70% of the vote against Republican challenger Lee Austin amid a district that has been a reliable Democratic stronghold since 1973, with Memphis as its core. Pre-election polls consistently showed Cohen leading by wide margins in this safely blue seat, reflecting strong incumbency advantage and minimal Republican turnout in a low-propensity midterm cycle. Trader consensus at 93.5% for Democrats aligns with the absence of recounts, legal challenges, or irregularities reported post-election, as county results await standard certification. Scenarios that could shift odds include unforeseen ballot disputes or court interventions, though none have emerged.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
Nov 3, 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Steve Cohen secured a commanding victory in Tennessee's 9th Congressional District on election night, capturing over 70% of the vote against Republican challenger Lee Austin amid a district that has been a reliable Democratic stronghold since 1973, with Memphis as its core. Pre-election polls consistently showed Cohen leading by wide margins in this safely blue seat, reflecting strong incumbency advantage and minimal Republican turnout in a low-propensity midterm cycle. Trader consensus at 93.5% for Democrats aligns with the absence of recounts, legal challenges, or irregularities reported post-election, as county results await standard certification. Scenarios that could shift odds include unforeseen ballot disputes or court interventions, though none have emerged.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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