Trader consensus positions Tatiana Auguste as the frontrunner at 59% implied probability to win the Terrebonne by-election, propelled by a fresh poll released 48 hours ago showing her Liberal campaign edging Bloc Québécois candidate Nathalie Sinclair-Desgagné amid voter shifts toward federal-provincial policy contrasts on housing and environment. Sinclair-Desgagné's 40.5% reflects enduring party loyalty in the Quebec riding but tempered by recent campaign stumbles and lower turnout forecasts in core strongholds. Negligible odds for Maxime Beaudoin, Maria Cantore, Adrienne Charles, and Benjamin Rankin underscore a tight two-way race under first-past-the-post rules. With voting imminent, a pivotal all-candidates debate this week could sway probabilities.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoTerrebone By-Election Winner
Terrebone By-Election Winner
Tatiana Auguste 59%
Nathalie Sinclair-Desgagné 41%
Maxime Beaudoin <1%
Maria Cantore <1%
$30,467 Vol.
$30,467 Vol.

Tatiana Auguste
59%

Nathalie Sinclair-Desgagné
41%

Maxime Beaudoin
<1%

Maria Cantore
<1%

Adrienne Charles
<1%

Benjamin Rankin
<1%
Tatiana Auguste 59%
Nathalie Sinclair-Desgagné 41%
Maxime Beaudoin <1%
Maria Cantore <1%
$30,467 Vol.
$30,467 Vol.

Tatiana Auguste
59%

Nathalie Sinclair-Desgagné
41%

Maxime Beaudoin
<1%

Maria Cantore
<1%

Adrienne Charles
<1%

Benjamin Rankin
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for the Terrebonne, Quebec seat in the House of Commons of Canada.
If the results of this by-election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Canadian government, specifically Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx).
Mercado abierto: Mar 23, 2026, 6:16 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus positions Tatiana Auguste as the frontrunner at 59% implied probability to win the Terrebonne by-election, propelled by a fresh poll released 48 hours ago showing her Liberal campaign edging Bloc Québécois candidate Nathalie Sinclair-Desgagné amid voter shifts toward federal-provincial policy contrasts on housing and environment. Sinclair-Desgagné's 40.5% reflects enduring party loyalty in the Quebec riding but tempered by recent campaign stumbles and lower turnout forecasts in core strongholds. Negligible odds for Maxime Beaudoin, Maria Cantore, Adrienne Charles, and Benjamin Rankin underscore a tight two-way race under first-past-the-post rules. With voting imminent, a pivotal all-candidates debate this week could sway probabilities.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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