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Elecciones·Elecciones Mundiales

Ganador de las elecciones presidenciales de 2028

Market icon
Elecciones·Elecciones Mundiales

Ganador de las elecciones presidenciales de 2028

JD Vance 17.4%

Gavin Newsom 17.1%

Marco Rubio 10.3%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 5.7%

Polymarket

$471,631,413 Vol.

JD Vance 17.4%

Gavin Newsom 17.1%

Marco Rubio 10.3%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 5.7%

Polymarket

$471,631,413 Vol.

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JD Vance

$9,139,394 Vol.

17%

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Gavin Newsom

$6,722,277 Vol.

17%

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Marco Rubio

$5,306,185 Vol.

10%

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Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

$10,411,362 Vol.

6%

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Jon Ossoff

$2,958,301 Vol.

3%

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Título del ítem del grupo: Kamala Harris

$6,492,350 Vol.

3%

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Tucker Carlson

$9,343,519 Vol.

3%

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Josh Shapiro

$5,315,628 Vol.

2%

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Donald Trump

$6,440,525 Vol.

2%

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Pete Buttigieg

$3,441,439 Vol.

2%

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Título del grupo: Andy Beshear

$15,010,713 Vol.

2%

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Ron DeSantis

$5,802,509 Vol.

2%

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JB Pritzker

$9,485,611 Vol.

1%

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James Talarico

$3,753,998 Vol.

1%

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Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson

$5,608,804 Vol.

1%

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Ivanka Trump

$3,997,764 Vol.

1%

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Jamie Dimon

$7,073,334 Vol.

1%

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Michelle Obama

$13,222,085 Vol.

1%

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Gretchen Whitmer

$7,663,837 Vol.

1%

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Greg Abbott

$31,353,709 Vol.

1%

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Título del ítem del grupo: Elon Musk

$21,963,380 Vol.

1%

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Wes Moore

$5,559,989 Vol.

1%

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Donald Trump Jr.

$8,368,554 Vol.

1%

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Nikki Haley

$21,020,302 Vol.

1%

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Ro Khanna

$5,640,135 Vol.

1%

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Thomas Massie

$3,298,035 Vol.

1%

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Tim Walz

$38,410,385 Vol.

1%

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Glenn Youngkin

$19,765,033 Vol.

1%

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Stephen Smith

$28,161,807 Vol.

1%

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Tulsi Gabbard

$27,119,712 Vol.

1%

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Vivek Ramaswamy

$28,930,733 Vol.

1%

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Zohran Mamdani

$16,286,324 Vol.

1%

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Eric Trump

$5,038,235 Vol.

1%

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Pete Hegseth

$1,923,958 Vol.

1%

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Kim Kardashian

$29,067,508 Vol.

1%

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LeBron James

$42,536,824 Vol.

<1%

The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.Vice President JD Vance holds a slim lead over California Governor Gavin Newsom in trader consensus for the 2028 presidential election winner, driven by his incumbency advantage as heir apparent to President Trump amid a fragmented Republican field, tempered by recent declines linked to Secretary of State Marco Rubio's surge—fueled by GOP donor backing at Mar-a-Lago gatherings and a strong second-place CPAC straw poll finish last weekend. Newsom's near-parity stems from commanding leads over Kamala Harris in March California Democratic primary polls, positioning him as the Democrats' early frontrunner post-2024. The tight race reflects pre-primary uncertainty ahead of 2026 midterms, with separation possible via midterm outcomes, Trump endorsements, or early candidate announcements.

Vice President JD Vance holds a slim lead over California Governor Gavin Newsom in trader consensus for the 2028 presidential election winner, driven by his incumbency advantage as heir apparent to President Trump amid a fragmented Republican field, tempered by recent declines linked to Secretary of State Marco Rubio's surge—fueled by GOP donor backing at Mar-a-Lago gatherings and a strong second-place CPAC straw poll finish last weekend. Newsom's near-parity stems from commanding leads over Kamala Harris in March California Democratic primary polls, positioning him as the Democrats' early frontrunner post-2024. The tight race reflects pre-primary uncertainty ahead of 2026 midterms, with separation possible via midterm outcomes, Trump endorsements, or early candidate announcements.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.Vice President JD Vance holds a slim lead over California Governor Gavin Newsom in trader consensus for the 2028 presidential election winner, driven by his incumbency advantage as heir apparent to President Trump amid a fragmented Republican field, tempered by recent declines linked to Secretary of State Marco Rubio's surge—fueled by GOP donor backing at Mar-a-Lago gatherings and a strong second-place CPAC straw poll finish last weekend. Newsom's near-parity stems from commanding leads over Kamala Harris in March California Democratic primary polls, positioning him as the Democrats' early frontrunner post-2024. The tight race reflects pre-primary uncertainty ahead of 2026 midterms, with separation possible via midterm outcomes, Trump endorsements, or early candidate announcements.

Vice President JD Vance holds a slim lead over California Governor Gavin Newsom in trader consensus for the 2028 presidential election winner, driven by his incumbency advantage as heir apparent to President Trump amid a fragmented Republican field, tempered by recent declines linked to Secretary of State Marco Rubio's surge—fueled by GOP donor backing at Mar-a-Lago gatherings and a strong second-place CPAC straw poll finish last weekend. Newsom's near-parity stems from commanding leads over Kamala Harris in March California Democratic primary polls, positioning him as the Democrats' early frontrunner post-2024. The tight race reflects pre-primary uncertainty ahead of 2026 midterms, with separation possible via midterm outcomes, Trump endorsements, or early candidate announcements.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de las elecciones presidenciales de 2028" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 36 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "JD Vance" con 17%, seguido de "Gavin Newsom" con 17%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 17¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 17% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Ganador de las elecciones presidenciales de 2028" ha generado $471.6 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Jul 11, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Ganador de las elecciones presidenciales de 2028", explora los 36 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de las elecciones presidenciales de 2028" es "JD Vance" con 17%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 17% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Gavin Newsom" con 17%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de las elecciones presidenciales de 2028" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.