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Elecciones·Elecciones Mundiales

Ganador de las elecciones presidenciales de 2028

Market icon
Elecciones·Elecciones Mundiales

Ganador de las elecciones presidenciales de 2028

JD Vance 17.3%

Gavin Newsom 17.1%

Marco Rubio 10.3%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 5.5%

Polymarket

$471,758,889 Vol.

JD Vance 17.3%

Gavin Newsom 17.1%

Marco Rubio 10.3%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 5.5%

Polymarket

$471,758,889 Vol.

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JD Vance

$9,145,755 Vol.

17%

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Gavin Newsom

$6,724,281 Vol.

17%

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Marco Rubio

$5,306,354 Vol.

10%

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Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

$10,411,627 Vol.

6%

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Jon Ossoff

$2,958,763 Vol.

3%

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Título del ítem del grupo: Kamala Harris

$6,493,774 Vol.

3%

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Tucker Carlson

$9,344,227 Vol.

3%

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Josh Shapiro

$5,316,424 Vol.

2%

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Donald Trump

$6,441,600 Vol.

2%

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Pete Buttigieg

$3,442,454 Vol.

2%

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Título del grupo: Andy Beshear

$15,012,063 Vol.

2%

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Ron DeSantis

$5,806,515 Vol.

2%

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JB Pritzker

$9,492,773 Vol.

1%

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James Talarico

$3,757,008 Vol.

1%

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Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson

$5,610,101 Vol.

1%

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Ivanka Trump

$3,998,433 Vol.

1%

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Jamie Dimon

$7,083,124 Vol.

1%

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Michelle Obama

$13,225,470 Vol.

1%

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Gretchen Whitmer

$7,674,781 Vol.

1%

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Greg Abbott

$31,356,388 Vol.

1%

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Título del ítem del grupo: Elon Musk

$21,966,667 Vol.

1%

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Wes Moore

$5,562,853 Vol.

1%

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Donald Trump Jr.

$8,370,143 Vol.

1%

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Nikki Haley

$21,022,084 Vol.

1%

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Ro Khanna

$5,641,828 Vol.

1%

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Thomas Massie

$3,299,701 Vol.

1%

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Tim Walz

$38,417,448 Vol.

1%

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Glenn Youngkin

$19,767,309 Vol.

1%

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Stephen Smith

$28,163,880 Vol.

1%

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Tulsi Gabbard

$27,120,682 Vol.

1%

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Vivek Ramaswamy

$28,932,389 Vol.

1%

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Zohran Mamdani

$16,287,853 Vol.

1%

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Eric Trump

$5,044,067 Vol.

1%

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Pete Hegseth

$1,926,992 Vol.

1%

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Kim Kardashian

$29,077,018 Vol.

1%

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LeBron James

$42,560,819 Vol.

<1%

The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.Vice President JD Vance holds a slim edge in trader consensus for the 2028 presidential election at 17.3%, nearly matched by California Governor Gavin Newsom at 17.2%, with Secretary of State Marco Rubio at 10.2%, reflecting early fragmentation across party lines more than two years before Election Day. Recent CPAC straw polls reaffirmed Vance's dominance in Republican primary preferences at 53%, though Rubio surged to 35% amid growing conservative comfort, while Newsom leads Democratic early surveys like California and New Hampshire matchups over rivals including Kamala Harris. This tightness stems from Trump administration policy outcomes, low candidate favorability baselines, and anticipation of 2026 midterms as pivotal tests for incumbency advantages and path-to-victory in swing states; official announcements, endorsements, or midterm results could widen gaps.

Vice President JD Vance holds a slim edge in trader consensus for the 2028 presidential election at 17.3%, nearly matched by California Governor Gavin Newsom at 17.2%, with Secretary of State Marco Rubio at 10.2%, reflecting early fragmentation across party lines more than two years before Election Day. Recent CPAC straw polls reaffirmed Vance's dominance in Republican primary preferences at 53%, though Rubio surged to 35% amid growing conservative comfort, while Newsom leads Democratic early surveys like California and New Hampshire matchups over rivals including Kamala Harris. This tightness stems from Trump administration policy outcomes, low candidate favorability baselines, and anticipation of 2026 midterms as pivotal tests for incumbency advantages and path-to-victory in swing states; official announcements, endorsements, or midterm results could widen gaps.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.Vice President JD Vance holds a slim edge in trader consensus for the 2028 presidential election at 17.3%, nearly matched by California Governor Gavin Newsom at 17.2%, with Secretary of State Marco Rubio at 10.2%, reflecting early fragmentation across party lines more than two years before Election Day. Recent CPAC straw polls reaffirmed Vance's dominance in Republican primary preferences at 53%, though Rubio surged to 35% amid growing conservative comfort, while Newsom leads Democratic early surveys like California and New Hampshire matchups over rivals including Kamala Harris. This tightness stems from Trump administration policy outcomes, low candidate favorability baselines, and anticipation of 2026 midterms as pivotal tests for incumbency advantages and path-to-victory in swing states; official announcements, endorsements, or midterm results could widen gaps.

Vice President JD Vance holds a slim edge in trader consensus for the 2028 presidential election at 17.3%, nearly matched by California Governor Gavin Newsom at 17.2%, with Secretary of State Marco Rubio at 10.2%, reflecting early fragmentation across party lines more than two years before Election Day. Recent CPAC straw polls reaffirmed Vance's dominance in Republican primary preferences at 53%, though Rubio surged to 35% amid growing conservative comfort, while Newsom leads Democratic early surveys like California and New Hampshire matchups over rivals including Kamala Harris. This tightness stems from Trump administration policy outcomes, low candidate favorability baselines, and anticipation of 2026 midterms as pivotal tests for incumbency advantages and path-to-victory in swing states; official announcements, endorsements, or midterm results could widen gaps.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de las elecciones presidenciales de 2028" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 36 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "JD Vance" con 17%, seguido de "Gavin Newsom" con 17%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 17¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 17% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Ganador de las elecciones presidenciales de 2028" ha generado $471.8 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Jul 11, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Ganador de las elecciones presidenciales de 2028", explora los 36 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de las elecciones presidenciales de 2028" es "JD Vance" con 17%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 17% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Gavin Newsom" con 17%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de las elecciones presidenciales de 2028" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.