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Política·Francia

¿Próximo alcalde de Toulouse después de las elecciones municipales?

Market icon
Política·Francia

¿Próximo alcalde de Toulouse después de las elecciones municipales?

Jean-Luc Moudenc 100.0%

Lambert Meilhac <1%

Malena Adrada <1%

Julian Menendez <1%

Polymarket

$304,548 Vol.

Jean-Luc Moudenc 100.0%

Lambert Meilhac <1%

Malena Adrada <1%

Julian Menendez <1%

Polymarket

$304,548 Vol.

Lambert Meilhac

$0 Vol.

No

Malena Adrada

$0 Vol.

No

Julian Menendez

$0 Vol.

No

Jean-Luc Moudenc

$253,620 Vol.

Sí

François Briançon

$0 Vol.

No

François Piquemal

$50,928 Vol.

No

Julien Leonardelli

$0 Vol.

No

Vanessa Pedinotti

$0 Vol.

No

Guillaume Scali

$0 Vol.

No

Arthur Cottrel

$0 Vol.

No

The 2026 Toulouse municipal election is scheduled for March 15, 2026, with a potential runoff on March 22. The Mayor of Toulouse will then be elected by the Toulouse Municipal Council elected in this election. This market will resolve according to the next individual elected to be the Mayor of Toulouse following this election. Interim, temporary, or caretaker mayors will not count. If no such mayor has been elected by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Toulouse; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jean-Luc Moudenc's 100% implied probability as next Toulouse mayor after the 2026 municipal election reflects trader consensus on his formidable incumbency advantage, having secured 48% in the 2020 first round amid stable local governance on urban development and economic growth. No major developments have shifted dynamics in the past 30 days, with Moudenc yet to formally declare but widely expected to run again under Les Républicains, facing fragmented opposition from figures like National Rally's Lambert Meilhac and socialists François Briançon. This commanding position aligns with historical patterns where French city mayors often win re-election handily. Potential challenges include a unified left-right coalition, personal scandal, or national political wave favoring extremes ahead of the March 2026 two-round vote.

Jean-Luc Moudenc's 100% implied probability as next Toulouse mayor after the 2026 municipal election reflects trader consensus on his formidable incumbency advantage, having secured 48% in the 2020 first round amid stable local governance on urban development and economic growth. No major developments have shifted dynamics in the past 30 days, with Moudenc yet to formally declare but widely expected to run again under Les Républicains, facing fragmented opposition from figures like National Rally's Lambert Meilhac and socialists François Briançon. This commanding position aligns with historical patterns where French city mayors often win re-election handily. Potential challenges include a unified left-right coalition, personal scandal, or national political wave favoring extremes ahead of the March 2026 two-round vote.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
The 2026 Toulouse municipal election is scheduled for March 15, 2026, with a potential runoff on March 22. The Mayor of Toulouse will then be elected by the Toulouse Municipal Council elected in this election. This market will resolve according to the next individual elected to be the Mayor of Toulouse following this election. Interim, temporary, or caretaker mayors will not count. If no such mayor has been elected by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Toulouse; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jean-Luc Moudenc's 100% implied probability as next Toulouse mayor after the 2026 municipal election reflects trader consensus on his formidable incumbency advantage, having secured 48% in the 2020 first round amid stable local governance on urban development and economic growth. No major developments have shifted dynamics in the past 30 days, with Moudenc yet to formally declare but widely expected to run again under Les Républicains, facing fragmented opposition from figures like National Rally's Lambert Meilhac and socialists François Briançon. This commanding position aligns with historical patterns where French city mayors often win re-election handily. Potential challenges include a unified left-right coalition, personal scandal, or national political wave favoring extremes ahead of the March 2026 two-round vote.

Jean-Luc Moudenc's 100% implied probability as next Toulouse mayor after the 2026 municipal election reflects trader consensus on his formidable incumbency advantage, having secured 48% in the 2020 first round amid stable local governance on urban development and economic growth. No major developments have shifted dynamics in the past 30 days, with Moudenc yet to formally declare but widely expected to run again under Les Républicains, facing fragmented opposition from figures like National Rally's Lambert Meilhac and socialists François Briançon. This commanding position aligns with historical patterns where French city mayors often win re-election handily. Potential challenges include a unified left-right coalition, personal scandal, or national political wave favoring extremes ahead of the March 2026 two-round vote.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Próximo alcalde de Toulouse después de las elecciones municipales?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 10 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Jean-Luc Moudenc" con 100%, seguido de "Lambert Meilhac" con 0%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 100¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Próximo alcalde de Toulouse después de las elecciones municipales?" ha generado $304.5K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Mar 6, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Próximo alcalde de Toulouse después de las elecciones municipales?", explora los 10 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Próximo alcalde de Toulouse después de las elecciones municipales?" es "Jean-Luc Moudenc" con 100%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Lambert Meilhac" con 0%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Próximo alcalde de Toulouse después de las elecciones municipales?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.