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Mundo·Elecciones Globales

Próximo Primer Ministro de Suecia

Market icon
Mundo·Elecciones Globales

Próximo Primer Ministro de Suecia

Magdalena Andersson 59%

Ulf Kristersson 34%

Jimmie Åkesson 5.3%

Ebba Busch 2.2%

Polymarket

$1,219,965 Vol.

Magdalena Andersson 59%

Ulf Kristersson 34%

Jimmie Åkesson 5.3%

Ebba Busch 2.2%

Polymarket

$1,219,965 Vol.

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Magdalena Andersson

$36,173 Vol.

59%

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Ulf Kristersson

$33,503 Vol.

34%

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Jimmie Åkesson

$910,205 Vol.

5%

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Ebba Busch

$179,901 Vol.

2%

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Amanda Lind

$9,714 Vol.

<1%

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Nooshi Dadgostar

$7,985 Vol.

<1%

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Anna-Karin Hatt

$9,787 Vol.

<1%

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Simona Mohamsson

$12,923 Vol.

<1%

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Daniel Helldén

$8,975 Vol.

<1%

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Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist

$10,800 Vol.

<1%

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors Magdalena Andersson at 58.5% to become Sweden's next Prime Minister after the 2026 parliamentary election, driven by consistent polling averages showing her Social Democrats (S) leading at 36-38%—up slightly in recent Sifo and Novus surveys amid voter concerns over rising gang violence, immigration policy strains, and economic pressures under the current Tidö Agreement coalition. Incumbent Ulf Kristersson trails at 34%, reflecting Moderates' (M) 19-20% support despite government stability following a failed no-confidence motion against Justice Minister Gunnar Strömmer in October 2024. Jimmie Åkesson (5.3%) gains from Sweden Democrats' (SD) steady 20% as potential kingmaker in coalition talks under proportional representation, while others lag due to minor party standings. No snap election looms, with focus on September 2026 vote.

Trader consensus on Polymarket favors Magdalena Andersson at 58.5% to become Sweden's next Prime Minister after the 2026 parliamentary election, driven by consistent polling averages showing her Social Democrats (S) leading at 36-38%—up slightly in recent Sifo and Novus surveys amid voter concerns over rising gang violence, immigration policy strains, and economic pressures under the current Tidö Agreement coalition. Incumbent Ulf Kristersson trails at 34%, reflecting Moderates' (M) 19-20% support despite government stability following a failed no-confidence motion against Justice Minister Gunnar Strömmer in October 2024. Jimmie Åkesson (5.3%) gains from Sweden Democrats' (SD) steady 20% as potential kingmaker in coalition talks under proportional representation, while others lag due to minor party standings. No snap election looms, with focus on September 2026 vote.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors Magdalena Andersson at 58.5% to become Sweden's next Prime Minister after the 2026 parliamentary election, driven by consistent polling averages showing her Social Democrats (S) leading at 36-38%—up slightly in recent Sifo and Novus surveys amid voter concerns over rising gang violence, immigration policy strains, and economic pressures under the current Tidö Agreement coalition. Incumbent Ulf Kristersson trails at 34%, reflecting Moderates' (M) 19-20% support despite government stability following a failed no-confidence motion against Justice Minister Gunnar Strömmer in October 2024. Jimmie Åkesson (5.3%) gains from Sweden Democrats' (SD) steady 20% as potential kingmaker in coalition talks under proportional representation, while others lag due to minor party standings. No snap election looms, with focus on September 2026 vote.

Trader consensus on Polymarket favors Magdalena Andersson at 58.5% to become Sweden's next Prime Minister after the 2026 parliamentary election, driven by consistent polling averages showing her Social Democrats (S) leading at 36-38%—up slightly in recent Sifo and Novus surveys amid voter concerns over rising gang violence, immigration policy strains, and economic pressures under the current Tidö Agreement coalition. Incumbent Ulf Kristersson trails at 34%, reflecting Moderates' (M) 19-20% support despite government stability following a failed no-confidence motion against Justice Minister Gunnar Strömmer in October 2024. Jimmie Åkesson (5.3%) gains from Sweden Democrats' (SD) steady 20% as potential kingmaker in coalition talks under proportional representation, while others lag due to minor party standings. No snap election looms, with focus on September 2026 vote.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Próximo Primer Ministro de Suecia" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 10 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Magdalena Andersson" con 59%, seguido de "Ulf Kristersson" con 34%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 59¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 59% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Próximo Primer Ministro de Suecia" ha generado $1.2 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Jan 19, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Próximo Primer Ministro de Suecia", explora los 10 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Próximo Primer Ministro de Suecia" es "Magdalena Andersson" con 59%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 59% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Ulf Kristersson" con 34%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Próximo Primer Ministro de Suecia" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.