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Política·Primarias

Ganador de las primarias demócratas del gobernador de Nevada

Market icon
Política·Primarias

Ganador de las primarias demócratas del gobernador de Nevada

NEW
Polymarket
NEW

Aaron Ford

$0 Vol.

90%

Alexis Hill

$0 Vol.

6%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Nevada, scheduled to take place on June 9, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Nevada Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Nevada Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Attorney General Aaron Ford dominates trader sentiment at 90% implied probability for the Democratic primary winner in Nevada's 2026 gubernatorial race, driven by his October 9 campaign launch that highlighted his statewide prosecutorial record and garnered quick endorsements from labor unions and Democratic leaders like former Gov. Steve Sisolak. Ford's incumbency advantage, superior fundraising—over $500,000 raised initially—and polling leads in early surveys underscore his frontrunner path in the open primary. Senate Majority Leader Alexis Hill lingers at 5.5%, buoyed by legislative clout but hampered by lower name recognition outside Carson City. With the June 9, 2026, primary distant, new candidates or scandals could shift dynamics, but current wisdom-of-crowds pricing reflects Ford's early momentum.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Nevada, scheduled to take place on June 9, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Nevada Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Nevada Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volumen
$0
Fecha de finalización
Jun 9, 2026
Mercado abierto
Dec 4, 2025, 5:57 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Nevada, scheduled to take place on June 9, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Nevada Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Nevada Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Attorney General Aaron Ford dominates trader sentiment at 90% implied probability for the Democratic primary winner in Nevada's 2026 gubernatorial race, driven by his October 9 campaign launch that highlighted his statewide prosecutorial record and garnered quick endorsements from labor unions and Democratic leaders like former Gov. Steve Sisolak. Ford's incumbency advantage, superior fundraising—over $500,000 raised initially—and polling leads in early surveys underscore his frontrunner path in the open primary. Senate Majority Leader Alexis Hill lingers at 5.5%, buoyed by legislative clout but hampered by lower name recognition outside Carson City. With the June 9, 2026, primary distant, new candidates or scandals could shift dynamics, but current wisdom-of-crowds pricing reflects Ford's early momentum.

Attorney General Aaron Ford dominates trader sentiment at 90% implied probability for the Democratic primary winner in Nevada's 2026 gubernatorial race, driven by his October 9 campaign launch that highlighted his statewide prosecutorial record and garnered quick endorsements from labor unions and Democratic leaders like former Gov. Steve Sisolak. Ford's incumbency advantage, superior fundraising—over $500,000 raised initially—and polling leads in early surveys underscore his frontrunner path in the open primary. Senate Majority Leader Alexis Hill lingers at 5.5%, buoyed by legislative clout but hampered by lower name recognition outside Carson City. With the June 9, 2026, primary distant, new candidates or scandals could shift dynamics, but current wisdom-of-crowds pricing reflects Ford's early momentum.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de las primarias demócratas del gobernador de Nevada" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 2 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Aaron Ford" con 90%, seguido de "Alexis Hill" con 6%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 90¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 90% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Ganador de las primarias demócratas del gobernador de Nevada" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Dec 4, 2025. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Ganador de las primarias demócratas del gobernador de Nevada", explora los 2 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de las primarias demócratas del gobernador de Nevada" es "Aaron Ford" con 90%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 90% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Alexis Hill" con 6%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de las primarias demócratas del gobernador de Nevada" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.