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Política·Primarias

Ganador de las primarias demócratas del gobernador de Nevada

Market icon
Política·Primarias

Ganador de las primarias demócratas del gobernador de Nevada

NEW
Polymarket
NEW

Aaron Ford

$0 Vol.

90%

Alexis Hill

$0 Vol.

6%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Nevada, scheduled to take place on June 9, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Nevada Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Nevada Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Attorney General Aaron Ford commands 90% trader consensus to win Nevada's Democratic gubernatorial primary, driven by his early campaign launch in March 2024, strong statewide name recognition from high-profile DOJ prosecutions, and top rankings in initial polls like Emerson's showing him at 42% support versus scattered field. Senate Majority Leader Alexis Hill holds second at 5.5%, benefiting from legislative clout and Clark County ties but trailing Ford's executive experience and fundraising lead exceeding $500,000. Absent major challengers entering before 2026 filing deadlines, odds reflect the wisdom of crowds favoring incumbency advantages in open primaries, though endorsements, scandals, or late entrants could narrow Ford's frontrunner edge ahead of the June primary.

Attorney General Aaron Ford commands 90% trader consensus to win Nevada's Democratic gubernatorial primary, driven by his early campaign launch in March 2024, strong statewide name recognition from high-profile DOJ prosecutions, and top rankings in initial polls like Emerson's showing him at 42% support versus scattered field. Senate Majority Leader Alexis Hill holds second at 5.5%, benefiting from legislative clout and Clark County ties but trailing Ford's executive experience and fundraising lead exceeding $500,000. Absent major challengers entering before 2026 filing deadlines, odds reflect the wisdom of crowds favoring incumbency advantages in open primaries, though endorsements, scandals, or late entrants could narrow Ford's frontrunner edge ahead of the June primary.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Nevada, scheduled to take place on June 9, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Nevada Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Nevada Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Attorney General Aaron Ford commands 90% trader consensus to win Nevada's Democratic gubernatorial primary, driven by his early campaign launch in March 2024, strong statewide name recognition from high-profile DOJ prosecutions, and top rankings in initial polls like Emerson's showing him at 42% support versus scattered field. Senate Majority Leader Alexis Hill holds second at 5.5%, benefiting from legislative clout and Clark County ties but trailing Ford's executive experience and fundraising lead exceeding $500,000. Absent major challengers entering before 2026 filing deadlines, odds reflect the wisdom of crowds favoring incumbency advantages in open primaries, though endorsements, scandals, or late entrants could narrow Ford's frontrunner edge ahead of the June primary.

Attorney General Aaron Ford commands 90% trader consensus to win Nevada's Democratic gubernatorial primary, driven by his early campaign launch in March 2024, strong statewide name recognition from high-profile DOJ prosecutions, and top rankings in initial polls like Emerson's showing him at 42% support versus scattered field. Senate Majority Leader Alexis Hill holds second at 5.5%, benefiting from legislative clout and Clark County ties but trailing Ford's executive experience and fundraising lead exceeding $500,000. Absent major challengers entering before 2026 filing deadlines, odds reflect the wisdom of crowds favoring incumbency advantages in open primaries, though endorsements, scandals, or late entrants could narrow Ford's frontrunner edge ahead of the June primary.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de las primarias demócratas del gobernador de Nevada" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 2 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Aaron Ford" con 90%, seguido de "Alexis Hill" con 6%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 90¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 90% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Ganador de las primarias demócratas del gobernador de Nevada" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Dec 4, 2025. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Ganador de las primarias demócratas del gobernador de Nevada", explora los 2 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de las primarias demócratas del gobernador de Nevada" es "Aaron Ford" con 90%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 90% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Alexis Hill" con 6%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de las primarias demócratas del gobernador de Nevada" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.