Recent Emerson College polling released late May shows Josh Turek leading Zach Wahls 28%-25% among likely Iowa Democratic primary voters for U.S. Senate, mirroring the tight trader consensus with Turek at 51% implied probability. Wahls draws strength from establishment endorsements, including from U.S. Rep. Abby Finkenauer and former Gov. Tom Vilsack, plus his prior state legislative experience and name recognition from viral testimony on same-sex marriage. Turek counters with veteran status, union backing, and recent fundraising momentum, appealing to progressive and working-class voters in this low-turnout primary. With the June 4 contest approaching and over 30% undecided, late ads, endorsements, or turnout among rural Democrats could tip the balance in this closely contested race.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoJosh Turek 51%
Zach Wahls 46%
Chris Henry 1.4%
Nathan Sage <1%
Josh Turek
51%
Zach Wahls
47%
Chris Henry
1%
Nathan Sage
1%
Josh Turek 51%
Zach Wahls 46%
Chris Henry 1.4%
Nathan Sage <1%
Josh Turek
51%
Zach Wahls
47%
Chris Henry
1%
Nathan Sage
1%
If no 2026 Iowa Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Iowa Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Mercado abierto: Nov 13, 2025, 2:11 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent Emerson College polling released late May shows Josh Turek leading Zach Wahls 28%-25% among likely Iowa Democratic primary voters for U.S. Senate, mirroring the tight trader consensus with Turek at 51% implied probability. Wahls draws strength from establishment endorsements, including from U.S. Rep. Abby Finkenauer and former Gov. Tom Vilsack, plus his prior state legislative experience and name recognition from viral testimony on same-sex marriage. Turek counters with veteran status, union backing, and recent fundraising momentum, appealing to progressive and working-class voters in this low-turnout primary. With the June 4 contest approaching and over 30% undecided, late ads, endorsements, or turnout among rural Democrats could tip the balance in this closely contested race.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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