Recent polls have propelled Democratic challenger Christina Bohannan to a narrow lead over incumbent Republican Zach Nunn in Iowa's competitive 3rd Congressional District, a rematch from 2022 where Nunn prevailed by four points. A Des Moines Register/Selzer survey released October 29 showed Bohannan at 47% to Nunn's 44% among likely voters, while an Emerson poll echoed her edge at 47-44%, reflecting trader consensus on her momentum amid focus on abortion rights, agriculture subsidies, and economic concerns in this Des Moines-anchored battleground. With early voting underway and Election Day on November 5, the race remains a toss-up per forecasters, but skin-in-the-game pricing implies Bohannan's polling strength and higher turnout potential among key voting blocs could tip the balance.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoIA-03 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
IA-03 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
NEW
NEW
Nov 4, 2026
Partido Demócrata
53%
Partido Republicano
41%
NEW
NEW
Nov 4, 2026
Partido Demócrata
$0 Vol.
53%
Partido Republicano
$0 Vol.
41%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Recent polls have propelled Democratic challenger Christina Bohannan to a narrow lead over incumbent Republican Zach Nunn in Iowa's competitive 3rd Congressional District, a rematch from 2022 where Nunn prevailed by four points. A Des Moines Register/Selzer survey released October 29 showed Bohannan at 47% to Nunn's 44% among likely voters, while an Emerson poll echoed her edge at 47-44%, reflecting trader consensus on her momentum amid focus on abortion rights, agriculture subsidies, and economic concerns in this Des Moines-anchored battleground. With early voting underway and Election Day on November 5, the race remains a toss-up per forecasters, but skin-in-the-game pricing implies Bohannan's polling strength and higher turnout potential among key voting blocs could tip the balance.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Dec 16, 2025, 11:59 AM ET
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
Nov 4, 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 16, 2025, 11:59 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Recent polls have propelled Democratic challenger Christina Bohannan to a narrow lead over incumbent Republican Zach Nunn in Iowa's competitive 3rd Congressional District, a rematch from 2022 where Nunn prevailed by four points. A Des Moines Register/Selzer survey released October 29 showed Bohannan at 47% to Nunn's 44% among likely voters, while an Emerson poll echoed her edge at 47-44%, reflecting trader consensus on her momentum amid focus on abortion rights, agriculture subsidies, and economic concerns in this Des Moines-anchored battleground. With early voting underway and Election Day on November 5, the race remains a toss-up per forecasters, but skin-in-the-game pricing implies Bohannan's polling strength and higher turnout potential among key voting blocs could tip the balance.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
Nov 4, 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 16, 2025, 11:59 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polls have propelled Democratic challenger Christina Bohannan to a narrow lead over incumbent Republican Zach Nunn in Iowa's competitive 3rd Congressional District, a rematch from 2022 where Nunn prevailed by four points. A Des Moines Register/Selzer survey released October 29 showed Bohannan at 47% to Nunn's 44% among likely voters, while an Emerson poll echoed her edge at 47-44%, reflecting trader consensus on her momentum amid focus on abortion rights, agriculture subsidies, and economic concerns in this Des Moines-anchored battleground. With early voting underway and Election Day on November 5, the race remains a toss-up per forecasters, but skin-in-the-game pricing implies Bohannan's polling strength and higher turnout potential among key voting blocs could tip the balance.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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