Recent independent opinion polls, such as Medián's latest survey showing TISZA at 58% versus Fidesz-KDNP's 35% among decided voters and hvg.hu data from March 25 indicating a widening gap, have driven trader consensus to price TISZA's parliamentary election victory at 66.5% ahead of the April 12 vote. Péter Magyar's TISZA has gained momentum from anti-incumbency sentiment against Viktor Orbán's Fidesz-KDNP coalition, unifying opposition support despite Fidesz wins in recent by-elections and their March 15 Peace March rally. Fidesz-aligned polls like Nézőpont's claim a closer race, but markets reflect skepticism toward them; Hungary's single-member district system favors efficient vote distribution for a seats majority, with undecided voters pivotal in the final stretch.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones parlamentarias de Hungría
Ganador de las elecciones parlamentarias de Hungría
TISZA 67%
Fidesz-KDNP 34%
Momentum <1%
DK <1%
$48,917,399 Vol.
$48,917,399 Vol.
Apr 12, 2026
TISZA
67%
Fidesz-KDNP
34%
Momentum
<1%
DK
<1%
LMP
<1%
MSZP
<1%
Mi Hazánk
<1%
Párbeszéd
<1%
Jobbik
<1%
KDNP
<1%
TISZA 67%
Fidesz-KDNP 34%
Momentum <1%
DK <1%
$48,917,399 Vol.
$48,917,399 Vol.
Apr 12, 2026
TISZA
$866,008 Vol.
67%
Fidesz-KDNP
$1,148,382 Vol.
34%
Momentum
$602,838 Vol.
<1%
DK
$4,876,095 Vol.
<1%
LMP
$14,325,703 Vol.
<1%
MSZP
$446,332 Vol.
<1%
Mi Hazánk
$470,862 Vol.
<1%
Párbeszéd
$7,088,495 Vol.
<1%
Jobbik
$14,786,563 Vol.
<1%
KDNP
$4,390,807 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).Recent independent opinion polls, such as Medián's latest survey showing TISZA at 58% versus Fidesz-KDNP's 35% among decided voters and hvg.hu data from March 25 indicating a widening gap, have driven trader consensus to price TISZA's parliamentary election victory at 66.5% ahead of the April 12 vote. Péter Magyar's TISZA has gained momentum from anti-incumbency sentiment against Viktor Orbán's Fidesz-KDNP coalition, unifying opposition support despite Fidesz wins in recent by-elections and their March 15 Peace March rally. Fidesz-aligned polls like Nézőpont's claim a closer race, but markets reflect skepticism toward them; Hungary's single-member district system favors efficient vote distribution for a seats majority, with undecided voters pivotal in the final stretch.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Mercado abierto: Dec 16, 2025, 3:19 PM ET
Volumen
$48,917,399Fecha de finalización
Apr 12, 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 16, 2025, 3:19 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).Recent independent opinion polls, such as Medián's latest survey showing TISZA at 58% versus Fidesz-KDNP's 35% among decided voters and hvg.hu data from March 25 indicating a widening gap, have driven trader consensus to price TISZA's parliamentary election victory at 66.5% ahead of the April 12 vote. Péter Magyar's TISZA has gained momentum from anti-incumbency sentiment against Viktor Orbán's Fidesz-KDNP coalition, unifying opposition support despite Fidesz wins in recent by-elections and their March 15 Peace March rally. Fidesz-aligned polls like Nézőpont's claim a closer race, but markets reflect skepticism toward them; Hungary's single-member district system favors efficient vote distribution for a seats majority, with undecided voters pivotal in the final stretch.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Volumen
$48,917,399Fecha de finalización
Apr 12, 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 16, 2025, 3:19 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent independent opinion polls, such as Medián's latest survey showing TISZA at 58% versus Fidesz-KDNP's 35% among decided voters and hvg.hu data from March 25 indicating a widening gap, have driven trader consensus to price TISZA's parliamentary election victory at 66.5% ahead of the April 12 vote. Péter Magyar's TISZA has gained momentum from anti-incumbency sentiment against Viktor Orbán's Fidesz-KDNP coalition, unifying opposition support despite Fidesz wins in recent by-elections and their March 15 Peace March rally. Fidesz-aligned polls like Nézőpont's claim a closer race, but markets reflect skepticism toward them; Hungary's single-member district system favors efficient vote distribution for a seats majority, with undecided voters pivotal in the final stretch.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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